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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Where you at birds?
  2. Heisy
    Yeah I think it’s insane. I bet tonight it ticks warmer again. This screams sleet storm to me personally. Just hopefully not rain
  3. Heisy
    Ice totals for weekend off euro. Looks like sleet probably mixed in too
  4. Heisy
    Yea I agre. This smells like a sleet bomb to me personally. 18z para well S of GFS. Let’s hope for a shift S tonight on op and euro
  5. Heisy
    Oh I def agree. The low level cold is 10x better, but mid level would be a different story. Idc if it’s 0f the day before nothing stops the mid levels unless we see better vort pass and confluence
  6. Heisy
    Here’s a model run I saved from December. I’m sure the final result was somewhat like this, but either way, Canada was def a bit different but both had similar ridging issues on EC and trough axis with main vort
  7. Heisy
    Not saying it’s right, so don’t kill me, but this trough axis is positive way too fast. Kind of like the December event. This one would have a much better lower level cold airmass so I think euro is scouring out the cold too fast, but we need to work on this look. It took a step though as psu noted so that’s good.
  8. Heisy
    My new bar is 4.5” for this one now lol. I love to set myself up for disappointment.
  9. Heisy
    Most of the old members from this site are on phillywx.com forum Ralph. He used to post here.
  10. Heisy
    This is pretty close to warning if kuchera is right, what’s stopping even farther N? Edit: misread you, do you mean watches since the timing is not until tomorrow
  11. Heisy
    Goes with the old saying, Stronger wave 1 weaker wave 2, vice versa. What a joke the euro is right now.
  12. Heisy
    I feel bad for them wish we could both get hit
  13. Heisy
    Euro is legit warning snow I think, tombo thinks so too
  14. Heisy
    Yep, NAM bufkit had Philly at 13:1 too fyi
  15. Heisy
    12z euro is a hit for tonight, in line with other models now. Hell yea
  16. Heisy
    It’s amazing how different it can be up here near Ne airport vs center city. Last event Sunday was like a perfect climo example. I literally drive across the boulevard and snow was on the roads and progressively got deeper
  17. Heisy
    Exactly. I don’t like the look here either.
  18. Heisy
    Euro? Lol I bet it ticks slightly N again. Euro tends to make tiny ticks each run instead of larger ones. It’ll prob look like 6z eps. i think it’ll be warm like gfs for next week
  19. Heisy
    Radar looks good. That stream near KY is main batch and that’s aimed right at us
  20. Heisy
    My bad I wasn’t in the other thread so wasn’t paying attention, sorry fellas
  21. Heisy
    Those meso bands almost always setup farther N than progged so we’re in a good spot.
  22. Heisy
    Sorry I’ll see myself out. Wasn’t paying attention to the 10-12 thread. Didn’t mean to rub salt in the wounds
  23. Heisy
    Yeah I did. Trust me I want us both to score more than anyone. The HP is no joke so it’ll depend on the confluence and how strong the vort is. It’s fun to look at for now but I personally don’t buy it. Maybe thump to sleet/ice best case? don’t rip me too much just giving my .000002 cents. I feel all your pain honestly. Tbh though we all know in March or next winter you guys will get a HECS. Seems boom or bust anymore
  24. Heisy
    I’d be careful with the para and cmc right now. I’m not saying sleet/ice won’t be an issue next week, but idk this vort pass screams bgm to Boston to me. That’s just me though not trying to be a Debbie downer
  25. Heisy
    I think Philly ends up with around a little Over 3” but there’s an outside shot at 5-6. Of course there’s also a shot at 1-2 lol
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