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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Remember there is some qpf from Friday’s front too
  2. Heisy
    Haha you’re gonna have a long February then
  3. Heisy
    I really like southern half of Delaware as a jackpot location for this one so far. They get perfect balance of temps being just cold enough and the heaviest precip training over them.
  4. Heisy
    This is the typical event the NAM will juice up, flat waves with coastal fronto. Expect some crazy runs like this. Need the cmc/rgem family to jump on but I’m starting to feel pretty good about a 2-4 3-5 type event
  5. Heisy
    I just use weathertap for larger regions and RadarScope for the zoomed in. This was the first time I used RadarScope during a storm and it was amazing. It circles your exact location. Only a $10 one time fee not bad good icon run let’s hope gfs continues!
  6. Heisy
    The icon is the new king if this storm happens, has barely wavered at alll
  7. Heisy
    Perfect start time too, can’t beat it
  8. Heisy
    Surface will be fine for most as long as the heavy precip is legit. It’s gonna be a paste—drip event in the best case scenario.
  9. Heisy
    Yep, sick fronto band. Hard to take that serious though would have rather had the big picture look better.
  10. Heisy
    This storm blowing up helps the pattern down the line. Turns into a 50/50 type feature locks in an okay HP in a good spot. Day 6 euro buries SNE because of help from this event.
  11. Heisy
    Woops yeah Sunday. getting that precip to start before daytime warming would be important. This is more like a swf event. Surface is marginal but upper air is fine so if we find the right balance of precip/strength and timing will work out. You’d actually see more white rain if we got fringed. The heavier precip would help cool the BL
  12. Heisy
    Agree with everything you said except day time. This falls after 1am monday into the morning hours up to like noon. Starting before dawn will help keep the BL cool.
  13. Heisy
    Np, normally it’s out by now it’s just delayed for some reason I’ll post it when SV has it out far enough.
  14. Heisy
    Where is icon out? It just started running on SV, double check it’s not an old run fyi
  15. Heisy
    Didn’t come out on SV yet it’s south?
  16. Heisy
    Timing is good too, overnight for you guys with this being a wet snow with BL issues it’s a positive. Starts before dawn here in Philly too
  17. Heisy
    As Tombo pointed out on another forum this is like a SWFE here. Have a low near the lakes. If it can stay all snow I love these types. Heavy wet snow will stick to everything and then we drip. I like that it starts before dawn here
  18. Heisy
    Verbatim this looks like a classic heavy wet snow and then once it shuts off we drip
  19. Heisy
    Be very careful with BL guys. It is very close to being a big issue this run. Awesome to see though
  20. Heisy
  21. Heisy
    Edit: posted below
  22. Heisy
    Yep just posted a gif on our Philly forum. This will be a much better run
  23. Heisy
    Yea that’s a pretty big increase in qpf. I’m still worried about 1 camp being inland and the other OTS. We need “just right” down here in Philly.
  24. Heisy
    I went to California University of PA for op met. Back in 2005-07. That school was really growing at the time and had a very good program. I actually knew 3-4 posters from this site when I went there lol. Just another option for you to look at. Think they also offer a masters degree too.
  25. Heisy
    The trend is real. I’m actually more worried about rain than OTS. As Walt drag says we need the cmc to come on board. This event reminds me of 2013-14 where every shortwave trended better at this range. I really think this ends up being a 6-10” event in the suburbs. These types of waves seem to always trend wetter and stronger. It’s pure stj & with today’s ocean temps expect a juicier system
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