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calm_days

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Everything posted by calm_days

  1. Yes; Brick and others have been mentioning over the past few years that the once certain seasons for severe, especially autumn, have changed in that regard. I feel like it is at least a guaranteed interesting spring in terms of unusual weather systems, although I'm not sure if any would be severe, maybe just different enough to be noteworthy! I do think that there is at least a chance of a few to several colder wedge days during March and April.
  2. This wind map format may be helpful: (Surface winds:) https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-88.55,38.14,3000 (850) https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-85.59,36.88,3000/loc=-80.532,33.711
  3. Yes; it is quite interesting to see within the satellite imagery the many different factors that are part of the genesis and continuination of that feature! http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northamerica-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbars=data http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbars=data
  4. ...Southern Appalachians to Carolinas... Relatively steep mid-level lapse rates, as noted in 12Z observed soundings from locations such as Nashville and Atlanta, will continue to advect eastward toward the region. A mid-level shortwave trough and associated belt of modestly enhanced flow aloft will spread east/southeastward today over the region and influence deep convective development within a moist/moderately unstable environment along a quasi-stationary frontal boundary. Initial thunderstorm intensification should occur this afternoon over the southern Appalachians vicinity as well as near the front, with the potential that storms will somewhat organize into clusters and small linear segments in the presence of around 30 kt effective shear. Damaging winds will be the most common hazard.
  5. Yes; there was quite an intense presentation on radar, it is one of the more astonishing features of spring and summer weather here especially considering that they will sometimes go offshore and become tropical, yet they do not always develop a circulation on land. This one seems to have done so! https://images2.imgbox.com/44/a1/gfnvArrY_o.gif https://images2.imgbox.com/cc/83/KlqbOgCZ_o.gif
  6. This does seem like it would hold together for some time. Link to radar animation for now; it is too large to embed! A few hours later; a more recent radar animation saved to view here: https://images2.imgbox.com/64/30/iarK5ucI_o.gif
  7. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0006-5 Main Atlantic Ocean currents are changing: I didn't know about this until a few minutes ago! This more broad article is not mentioning the sea surface temperature differences that you are noticing, so it is important to hear a direct firsthand report. The past two summers have definitely been cooler (but not completely cool), a simple aspect of that being the length of time it has taken for RDU to eventually reach 90.
  8. Not wishing to get too abstract but I think it fits well in this topic: it does seem like this May, June and July will be unusual in terms of weather conditions. It almost seems possible that there could be one or two very different weather system interactions, perhaps three or four depending on what these conditions will actually be. I don't get a sense that it would be too extreme or noteworthy in unwelcome ways. Though, should the direct and sizable west to east troughs continue, there would at some point be oceanic cyclone activity stirring up and pulled in their direction. Wanting to post this is mostly stemming from a general curiosity about how the current patterns will actually resolve into any of the familiar summer patterns. A very comprehensive pattern shift is very possible too, but I wonder if it doesn't quite get there, we will have an unusual mix to observe and from which to learn, and hopefully enjoy too!
  9. Until it is resolved and removed, it seems that they can be avoided by right-clicking and opening each desired page in a new tab, but left-clicking on links will activate the popups at least once.
  10. I think this has already been a very enjoyable/fulfilling system to watch in forecasts, and hopefully, most likely, it will turn out to be intriguing as it happens and as the thread title mentions, good to remember into the future!
  11. Are there links available to track Gulf of Mexico methane? I can't tell if changes I have noticed in water vapor behavior in relation to the Gulf of Mexico are from integration of comet dust (ISON & LINEAR) or from possible increased release from underwater that have been theorized to be possible since 2010 and earlier.
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