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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. madwx
    up to 70.4% of the country covered in snow. Have a chance of passing that tomorrow, depending on how much melting(if any) occurs in Texas
  2. madwx
    waiting for the official number but looks like we got down to -12 or -13 this morning. Just short of the record again. We just had the 7th coldest first half of February for MSN. Looking forward to the slow climb out of this now. The cold has overstayed its welcome.
  3. madwx
    One positive around here is that the consistent snow cover has lead to a fairly shallow frost depth. So when we do warm up the ground won’t stay frozen for long and will be able to soak up water
  4. madwx
    56% of the country is covered by snow now. Will be interesting to see how high that number gets later this week
  5. madwx
    Missed the record low and record cold max by 1 degree today. Last chance at a record will be tomorrow’s record low of -14
  6. madwx
    Looks like we’ll end up right on the edge of the snow and get a dusting. Congrats to all to the SE who will get a great system. Can’t wait to watch all this snow melt after this
  7. madwx
    dewpoints have been around -20 all day. Can really feel your skin dry out
  8. madwx
    DVN goes WWA for the SE third of their CWA for 2 to 5 inches
  9. madwx
    maybe people will stop trash talking the GFSv16 and actually realize it'll be an improvement on the current GFS
  10. madwx
    Looks like models are keying in on an inverted trough on the NW side of the system that gives us a couple inches Monday night
  11. madwx
    made it to -12 this morning. One degree shy of the record for the day. High clouds rolling in around 5 saved the record low.
  12. madwx
    https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/meg/gefs_plumes/index.html?stationname=KMSN Just wanted to show everybody this website. Its the equivalent of the SREF plumes but for the GFS ensemble. You can just select the station on the map and you can bookmark it. Very helpful for seeing how the GEFS members are trending.
  13. madwx
    One reason is that they count any frozen precip as snow so in a storm with a lot of sleet it’ll be counted as 10:1 instead of 4:1 or so. That’s not happening here but it may be something they are doing when calculating the kuchera method, like the max column temp they are using is lower for some reason which really inflates ratios
  14. madwx
    La Crosse tied their record cold high of 0 today and Rochester set their record cold high of -3.
  15. madwx
    lots of people going to be disappointed in snow totals if they keep looking at the weatherbell weenie maps
  16. madwx
    it really matters how much of the column is in the dendritic growth zone and other factors like fracturing of snowflakes by the wind. Low temps don't always equal crazy high ratios. For a major synoptic storm like this it's pretty tough to average more than 15:1.
  17. madwx
    About 1.5” here. Sun came out right after the snow stopped and it’s beautiful out despite the cold temps
  18. madwx
    The GFS v16 has been much better. looking foward to it taking over as the operational GFS next month
  19. madwx
    Only three years since 2000 have we not hit 57 by the end of March, and in those 3 years we got it in the first week of April. Some warmer stretches will be here before you know it
  20. madwx
    Our record lows are -13 and -14 tomorrow and Monday. Record cold max is -3 both days. Those seem like our best chance of breaking records this stretch
  21. madwx
    Light snow for the past few hours at -5. Pretty crazy stuff
  22. madwx
    those snow showers are below the mid level dry layer while the stronger returns moving eastward are higher up and evaporating as they fall through the dry layer
  23. madwx
    first sunrise of the season before 7 am here. The longer afternoon daylight was noticeable but starting to get signs of it in the morning as well
  24. madwx
    only down to -2 last night due to the snow and cloud cover. Looks like our coldest day coming up will be Sunday with highs struggling to break zero and temps dropping into the mid teens Sunday night. A warming trend commences after that
  25. madwx
    Fairly consistent signal of temps around freezing by next weekend and then periods of above average temps after that. The 20s next week will feel like a heat wave
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