madwx

front crashed back down through the area this evening but should shift back northward tomorrow morning.

Up to 72 here. Big win for the HRRR today with temps.

The WAA precip moved through here earlier, but luckily it was warm enough throughout the lower atmosphere for it to be all rain

Both the NAMs changed drastically and now have the warm front getting hung up at the WI/IL border tomorrow with highs only around 60 tomorrow, meanwhile the HRRR blasts the warm front N and gets us into the low and mid 70s. Past climo tells me the NAM will be correct about this but with the dry air and efficient mixing, I wouldn't be surprised to see the warm front mix fairly far northward

interested way to think about people having medical issues after vaccines. With half of the adult population in the US having at least one vaccine so far, it makes it absurdly easy to draw the connection between a vaccine and some kind of ailment since logically tons of people out of that 50% vaccinated are going to have some kind of medical issue during the past 4 months. It would be like saying people are getting sick/dying/etc. after going to Thanksgiving Dinner with family. Just by the sheer number of people doing it of course there will be people with health issues afterwards, even when it's not connected

The MJO is moving into phases 8-1-2 which is an active weather look for the central US in the spring

We're actually significantly worse than 2012. At least for areas W of the Mississippi.

Getting close to our last freeze here. Tonight is a slam dunk and Saturday night has the potential but then a warm stretch is upcoming and climo starts working against us

Visibility below a half mile in this squall. these things mean business. Accumulating on the grass/part of the sidewalk

already getting some convective snow showers this morning. Very ominous look in the NW sky

Latest measurable snowfall on record for Paducah Kentucky

Yeah I had a bad take. I’m willing to admit that

thats fair. Wasn't really thinking about south of I80

Texas has been a very middle of the road state in terms of Covid deaths per capita. Not as good as Florida(!) or California but not nearly as bad as Alabama and Mississippi.

people act like it doesn't snow in April, even though it snows in April every year

we average 2.6" of snow in April. It's abnormal if we don't get any snow this month. Only 8 out of the past 30 years haven't had measurable snow in April and all of those years had a trace.

The Euro and GFS have both trended shorter with the cool blast starting next week. Looks like M-Th should be below normal and then warmer air floods the region.

yes

good to see winterwx21 posted about being in really good shape. It had been awhile and I was worried something had changed on that front.

For people keeping track of the model scores at home, the GFS was able to sniff out the Typhoon in the Pacific far before the Euro did. Continues the trend of better performance with TCs as noted last year.

Interestingly it’s because of 6 cases of blood clots out of 7 million doses so far. All adult age groups have a higher chance of dying from covid than getting a blood clot from that vaccine

Yeah they used to take temperature measurements 3 times per day. Definitely missed a good number of highs and lows.

Recurving typhoons don't always mean a trough in the east. That's a preferred outcome but there are other factors in play as well

the middle of the month is not looking as cool as it once did, temps look to be only average or slightly below. The mean trough position looks to set up further west

90.5% of people 65+ in dane county have gotten at least one dose. Pretty amazing numbers ETA: 81.2% of the same age group in Dane County has completed their vaccine series