madwx
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Everything posted by madwx
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spotty showers here so far this morning. Stayed all liquid so far but snow or sleet may mix in for a time later before precip moves out this evening. Much appreciated sunny skies and warm up starting Friday.
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if people are afraid of what a vaccine does to your cells, just wait till they find out what a virus does
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Despite some passing cool shots most of the second half of the month will be above average
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Got to use my snowboard for the first time. 1.7” here with it down to flurries now
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accumulating easily on most surfaces here, just starting to cover up the roads
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flakes just starting here
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snow moving into the SW side of Madison, should be starting up here in Waunakee shortly
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snow reported in Mt. Horeb, ceilings down to 7,000. Snow should be into Madison within the next hour
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dewpoint has dropped from 23 to 17 over the past few hours. That easterly fetch is strong.
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it took long enough but the GFS finally came back down to earth here and now only forecasts 3" after predicting warning criteria snow for about the past 5 days
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also with all the talk of warm air and surfaces before the storm, we're going to be below freezing for a solid 12 hours before the snow starts falling
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HRRR which had been on the low end of totals jumped up to 5" here. Paved surfaces won't accumulate as much but models are honing in on the high end advisory scenario here.
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I think our pace of vaccinations will be just enough to beat back any future wave but as Europe is showing we’re just beating it
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There is actually pretty good agreement on a cutter going far NW around the 21-24. Should flood the area with mild air and bring a chance of thunderstorms.
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The GFS still has really high amounts here compared to all the other models. I'm still forecasting a low end advisory, guessing about 3-4" when it's all said and done
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looks like a pretty potent fronto band that will weaken with time as it heads eastward. Models anywhere between 1-5 inches here. Initial guess is on the low end of that range
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If I were to pick a week in May to go storm chasing in the plains, when would you recommend it?
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don't look now but the drought is expanding across the Midwest. Gotta hope some of these systems in the next few weeks actually pan out
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It’s no 8/10/2020 though
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GFS coming back down to earth in snow totals E of Iowa and much more in line with the v16 and Euro. Expecting DAB to 1" here
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Easily broke the previous record warm min yesterday. The record was 40 and we only got down to 48
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that UH streak from S Minnesota thru the SE side of the Twin Cities on the HRRR is going to verify well
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Same, there were still a few piles in my yard but they easily got wiped out overnight. The frost in the ground also thawed as the piles of standing water yesterday are gone now, despite some rain this morning.
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whatever cooldown we have from the 15-25 looks to be fairly mild with around normal temps expected. Long range progs show a warmup occurring after that with teleconnections remaining favorable and the MJO moving out of cool regions for the midwest.
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just got our first 60 of the season here. Snow coverage down below 50% in my neighborhood.
