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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. Big winds here this afternoon. Borderline wind advisory criteria. Might get windchills in the single digits tonight
  2. -NAO coming. Let's see how it plays out, especially for the eastern areas
  3. I would say 24", we've gotten some totals of around 20" in the area with storms before and that's with imperfect storms so I think a 2 footer is reasonable.
  4. Ground got coated last night. 0.2” here. It all melted by this morning though. Backside flurries with gusty winds now
  5. Snow starting here. Nice flake size already
  6. Snowing here this morning. Nothing accumulating yet
  7. the fact that this is starting overnight is really gonna help with laying down that initial layer of snow, feeling more and more optimisitc about this one
  8. you have to be under 35 to post on this sub now. 18z GFS with a bit of an uptick north of the WI/IL border with this one. Still early but I would bet on accums with this one here
  9. the convective snow showers on Friday have my eye, with the strong winds and steep lapse rates could be a pretty impressive day
  10. there was so much low level haze from farmers clearing their fields today. The thickest I've ever seen that, was like fog in some places
  11. too many deer have chronic wasting around here.
  12. got a few flurries overnight for our first trace of snow at the house.
  13. I was gonna rag on nwohweather for still posting in here but then I realized spartman's ohio valley zoom on pivotal weather includes South Carolina so I can't complain
  14. Nice warming trend in the mid range. This weekend and early next week are going to be beautiful for November standards
  15. No, in fact it's been the opposite trend. Almost all TV mets now have a Met degree of some sort
  16. 11th warmest October on record for Madison. The cool nights the past week dropped us from a top 5. Warmest October on record for Milwaukee
  17. got down to 32, frost covered everything out there this morning. Good chance of hitting the 20s tonight
  18. almost certainly will be getting our first frost and freeze this weekend. Lawn has enjoyed the late season warmth and precip and is looking the best it has looked all year
  19. come back from South Carolina, we need you
  20. I'm pro letting people post stuff and educating them on what it means or encouraging a use of ensemble means vs. a single run of an model. I agree that 192 hour model graphics aren't useful on their own but it can't hurt to teach people, no matter which poster it is. I'd rather turn the weenies into knowledgeable weenies.
  21. Joe Bastardi predicting a cold winter. Must be October again
  22. we're gunning for the warmest October on record and I definitely think it's possible. Need a daily average of 53 degrees for the last half of the month to get there
  23. You want the a broader trough that encompasses more of the midwest and less amplitude in the upstream ridge. I mean this is all a bit too much analysis of one map since patterns are composed of many days to multiple weeks and not just a snapshot of one day. We need to look at how the entire flow of the NH is evolving. And wavelengths will be longer by Dec/Jan anyway.
  24. substitute upper 50s with upper 30s and that's what this pattern would be in winter, dry NW flow and not all that cold due to the ridge being pumped up over the plains.
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