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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. madwx
    walked outside in a t shirt and full sun and 16 felt alright
  2. madwx
    This is the greatest snow cover extent since at least 2003.
  3. madwx
    up to 9 degrees and full sunshine. Feels like a heatwave outside. Will finally be able to melt some of the snow and ice that's been stuck on the roads
  4. madwx
    Got slightly higher today with 73.6% snow coverage. Thinking this should be the max
  5. madwx
    Got 0.4” here on the far NW edge of the snow shield
  6. madwx
    Some N/S oriented gravity waves showing up on MKX radar
  7. madwx
    finally popped above 0 here. Between 8 pm Friday and 3 pm Monday we only had 1 hour above 0.
  8. madwx
    Kuchera is actually really simplistic. You just take the max column temp below 500 mb, subtract it from -2 celsius and add it to 12. So for example if the max column temp was -12 celsius, you would do 10+12 so 22:1 ratios.
  9. madwx
    up to 70.4% of the country covered in snow. Have a chance of passing that tomorrow, depending on how much melting(if any) occurs in Texas
  10. madwx
    waiting for the official number but looks like we got down to -12 or -13 this morning. Just short of the record again. We just had the 7th coldest first half of February for MSN. Looking forward to the slow climb out of this now. The cold has overstayed its welcome.
  11. madwx
    One positive around here is that the consistent snow cover has lead to a fairly shallow frost depth. So when we do warm up the ground won’t stay frozen for long and will be able to soak up water
  12. madwx
    56% of the country is covered by snow now. Will be interesting to see how high that number gets later this week
  13. madwx
    Missed the record low and record cold max by 1 degree today. Last chance at a record will be tomorrow’s record low of -14
  14. madwx
    Looks like we’ll end up right on the edge of the snow and get a dusting. Congrats to all to the SE who will get a great system. Can’t wait to watch all this snow melt after this
  15. madwx
    dewpoints have been around -20 all day. Can really feel your skin dry out
  16. madwx
    DVN goes WWA for the SE third of their CWA for 2 to 5 inches
  17. madwx
    maybe people will stop trash talking the GFSv16 and actually realize it'll be an improvement on the current GFS
  18. madwx
    Looks like models are keying in on an inverted trough on the NW side of the system that gives us a couple inches Monday night
  19. madwx
    made it to -12 this morning. One degree shy of the record for the day. High clouds rolling in around 5 saved the record low.
  20. madwx
    https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/meg/gefs_plumes/index.html?stationname=KMSN Just wanted to show everybody this website. Its the equivalent of the SREF plumes but for the GFS ensemble. You can just select the station on the map and you can bookmark it. Very helpful for seeing how the GEFS members are trending.
  21. madwx
    One reason is that they count any frozen precip as snow so in a storm with a lot of sleet it’ll be counted as 10:1 instead of 4:1 or so. That’s not happening here but it may be something they are doing when calculating the kuchera method, like the max column temp they are using is lower for some reason which really inflates ratios
  22. madwx
    La Crosse tied their record cold high of 0 today and Rochester set their record cold high of -3.
  23. madwx
    lots of people going to be disappointed in snow totals if they keep looking at the weatherbell weenie maps
  24. madwx
    it really matters how much of the column is in the dendritic growth zone and other factors like fracturing of snowflakes by the wind. Low temps don't always equal crazy high ratios. For a major synoptic storm like this it's pretty tough to average more than 15:1.
  25. madwx
    About 1.5” here. Sun came out right after the snow stopped and it’s beautiful out despite the cold temps
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