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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. frostfern
    Completely skipped over this side. Hope to finally get a good nocturnal light show at some point when the front comes back north. This summer has not been cooperative.
  2. frostfern
    Next 10 days looks wet now, possibly really wet if the next cutoff stalls in the right place, but no heat or high CAPE IMBY for a long time. Still boring for summer, but better than drought and smoke.
  3. frostfern
    We got smoke season instead this year.
  4. frostfern
    I remember living in Seattle where the pattern is extremely bimodal in early summer. In June you get a lot of cloudy days where it barely gets above 60, then you get some offshore flow to burn off the stratus and you have a stretch of 80s. The average high is dead smack in the middle, but "average" days aren't the norm at all.
  5. frostfern
    Still feels like miss south will be the rule for me with the frontal zone refusing to push north of I-80. High latitude Greenland block is good for shear/baroclinicity this time of year, but the constantly bad MJO / ENSO phase combo keeps the SE ridge from ever really flexing.
  6. frostfern
    2010 was the good old days.
  7. frostfern
    Yea. The main MCV was headed more northeast rather than southeast, and what came through here was already on its last legs in terms of having instability to work with.
  8. frostfern
    If a kickass nocturnal squall line comes roaring across Lake Michigan it comes from your direction 90% of the time. We are in the same line.
  9. frostfern
    Last night was very beneficial rain and good coverage as well. Just not the light show I wanted. Not video or photoshoot worthy anyways. There’s been a lot of popup tropical downpours lately with occasional rumbles. Very beneficial local rainfall but not really “events”. Still waiting for a squall line thats worth driving to the lake to see.
  10. frostfern
    Tired of all the snow-only weenies from Texas who don’t give a shit about good lightning shows giving me a hard time. Its been a rough summer.
  11. frostfern
    It really wasn’t looking as certain earlier if you were watching the radar closely. Could have been a better light show up here but it did rain. Still waiting for a really good show this year.
  12. frostfern
    Some lake shadow bullshit. Same is it always was. Chicago wins again.
  13. frostfern
    Lake breeze afternoon popups again. Its like Florida. Almost every day the same. I just hope there is something more widespread after dark.
  14. frostfern
    Yea. There’s the strip between I96 and RT 10 that got that training event last week, then there’s a lake breeze popup zone along and just east of 131. Between I96 and I94 and away from the lake breeze convergence zone that set up the last few afternoons its super dry still.
  15. frostfern
    Worried its going straight back to CAD miss south stank pattern after this evening here. Boring summer.
  16. frostfern
    Hope there is actually a solid rainfall up here too. This spotty afternoon popup stuff isn't completely cutting it.
  17. frostfern
    On this side of the lake Holland to Muskegon is also still super dry, like bone dry dry. A lot of the shoreline north of Ludington is pretty dry as well . Most of the rain lately has been at least 20 miles inland, but there are also big dry holes in and around the Lansing area. Classic lake breeze pattern. Solid relief is all from I-94 south.
  18. frostfern
    I keep getting localized afternoon downpours on the US-131 lake breeze. Picked up another unexpected 0.5” in about 15 minutes. Florida type downpour. New green grass is popping up, but mosquitos are out again too, unfortunately. Will be annoying for fireworks watching. The immediate lake shore has been missing out on rains though. Still need an MCS that shares the wealth more widely.
  19. frostfern
    Still not widespread relief from 1-96 north. Lots of dry holes where scattered showers completely missed, especially close to the lakeshore.
  20. frostfern
    The drought maps need microscopic detail around here. Somehow it managed to rain almost 2 inches over the past 3 days IMBY. Ridiculously localized. Most places nearby still bone dry.
  21. frostfern
    That isolated mini-cluster two nights ago bumped GRR way down the list for June dryness. I’m not gonna complain about bumped stats though. Not that kind of nerd.
  22. frostfern
    Second slow moving microcell of the day.
  23. frostfern
    The 2021 event was mostly east of me. Though I missed the severe winds and tornadoes that effected other parts of the state, I remember the last week of August and first week of September 2018 being impressive for the amount of CG lightning strikes.
  24. frostfern
    That general complex did produce some scattered outages earlier on a little west of Greenville. There was a decent downburst when the initial discrete cell collapsed. I can't remember the last time it rained 5" in a single sitting IMBY. Maybe late April 2013. I don't know about 5", but there was definitely over 4" in a 24 hour period, on top of heavy rains over the previous two weeks as well. I remember I volunteered to fill sandbags the day before the river crest. It was snowing.
  25. frostfern
    I got a 0.75" from a rogue cell just before midnight. Slow mover too. Pure luck.
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