weathafella

Euro has Monday snow ending before most get out of bed and clearing and cold during the day.

More like 2-5 EOR, 1-3 west.

Euro agrees with tiger.

Gfs eastern goalpost. Euro actually is a nice middle ground and fairly consistent past few days. Nice light to moderate event.

It’s odd that all the ops remain steadfast with a middling event. The ensembles are minimal to unrecognizable. Guess we’ll see.

5-6 days out is ok I think.

Depending on how this turns out it could be my new job!

I started a thread for the MLK threat.

When I think of overrunning, I imagine a WSW-ENE boundary that if I'm lucky, I'm north of with a big gradient between truly warm air and frigid conditions. Those setups can produce pretty big snows sometimes. However at least initially we will possibly get some snow from systems running up the baroclinic zone just offshore. Same idea but typically not as juicy. It appears that guidance now wants to potentially give us the opportunity to get clumps of qpf as they go by our latitude. The first one of concern is a potential 3-6+ event that models have in a good place for Sunday night/Monday. Whatever snow falls should stay on the ground for some time since next week is lining up to be quite cold. Did we start winter when NAO relaxed?

Should be dry until pretty late in the day. It might be the last time it’s not uncomfortably cold for a bit so look forward to it.

Verbatim. More significant is the fact that it’s d9.

It looked like crap to me. Wait-I was looking at the 27th! Maybe Kevin was onto something!

I prefer Vermont. I add Vermont to a martini to give me the feeling I’m surrounded by snow.

Other than a modest event for Maine from a primary traversing the St Lawrence what are you referring to?

Welcome to yesterday’s posts.

You call that a hit? We’re not SC! Maybe we are…

Ok I get that. But what does this have to do with me saying overrunning is my favorite pattern and citing December 1970?

Probably because we were on the wrong side of the gradient.

Well tbf this year isnt done yet but probably. Although what’s a rat? To me under 30 at BOS.

Umpteenth? Were you here in 2021-22? 4 events of significance and 30% above normal for Boston and metro west. 2020-2- wasn’t bad. Big event in December and good February. Past 2 years (possibly 3 when we tally up 2024-25) were rats.

As far as I can tell one hungry wolf doubts it.

That event dropped 18 inches in Boston.

Yes. And it’s #3 all time with 96.3 inches

It used to happen every winter in the glory days. I never noticed it till I moved here in the fall of 1969.

Overrunning when we’re on the right side of the gradient is perhaps my favorite pattern. See dec 1970 and the winter of Leon.