weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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Hope so! Although one of the bitter disappointments in my life that I’ll go to the grave with is having that storm hit 15 months after I moved to LA. Took 15 years to come back.
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Yeah I’m probably 2 hours from bed. Gotta play my daily wordle plus I just came in from walking. It feels colder than it is out tonight. Biting wind.
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I remember we talked about it here around my birthday maybe a year or 2 ago and I etched 1/5 in my brain.
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It is frustrating which is one reason I went off on Brett (although the continuous haranguing made me snap).
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I think happy birthday? Welcome to the 78 club!
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It’s very close actually. Your shit covered goggles make you hard to listen to.
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So close. Light to moderate event to eastern sne verbatim but so close to a huge hit.
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138 trof is going negative. This may hug too much.
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Phases are relatively rare.
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Workable but not yet a blockbuster.
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I think NYC got a foot in January 2015.
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LBSW was patented by Ray. It means storm comes to maturity SW of New England and the effects here are muted somewhat. Eg: what DC is about to get is NOT LBSW, it’s just a storm that missed us. In LBSW the storm hits us but it’s occluding.
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Definitely workable.
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Happy Hour comes through!
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I think what I said was true key word being often. I think it’s easy for models st long range without a lot of blocking to sniff a system out. Details can change radically. Of course if we’re getting a cutter and we don’t have nao to shunt it east models have less moving parts so verification is frequently better. It seems that NAO and timing of northern and southern streams is really tenuous with model waffling in the medium range understandable.
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All that proves is ...nothing. Solutions beyond d6 are often random luck. So you can't say ICON/CMC etc had this all along. I didn't include uncle because how many systems did models converge on only for uncle to send it to Bermuda inside of 72 hours....
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If the gfs and euro consistently show a hit sustained run to run I could care less about cmc or uncle which have been pretty bad for quite awhile now.
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MCI,CVG,DCA/BWI and in between getting 6-12+. Been quite awhile since the south of 40 crew had such a widespread heavy snow event. MCI currently 16/13 with heavy snow.
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I think we have reason to be guardedly optimistic. We had 3 shots a week ago with the current system giving DC 6-10 #1. We knew #1 was a miss for close to a week. #2 and #3 are in a better environment (less damage from NAO vs help potentially). We’re 0 for 1 but we have more middling pitchers to face for #2 and #3. Sooner or later we will score something. We’re not going 30 days with no water from the heavens.
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Just an observation. We’ll find out if it has any relevance for this event.
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It seems that it is quite common for models to show a big solution and then lose it in the d4-7 range before roaring it back to life.
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So far the entire 12z suite is a miss. Waiting on euro. Uncle should be ignored after a Saturday night party.
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No. I almost never get up that late. Usually 9:45-10:15 ish. I can’t imagine going to bed when it’s light out and I’m not ill.
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Yeah now shortly after midnight we have the euro. I’ve always been a night owl. I remember being 6 years old and being forced to go to bed. I rarely fell asleep for hours. Now that I’ve been released by the clock most of the world runs on I’m on a 2am-10am sleep schedule.
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How do you manage it in the summer when it’s light till 9?
