weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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It’s a natural progression from the early/pre winter panic threads.
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People got all giddy from one good model suite maybe 2 days ago. Then the rug got pulled and everyone's in a bad mood again. Keep the snow jones in your back pocket until it has a better chance of reality. Also, while the 16th probability has gone down, it's not dead yet. Same for the 20th.
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Remember the words of Richard Pryor when all the arguments fail….”well fuck it then!”
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BOS is at 4”. 3.8 Sunday and 0.2 in December
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And then there’s the 84 hour NAM….
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I didn’t think that was settled since it only goes to 90 hours. I didn’t think it was a terrible look at hour 90.
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That's a pretty big jump NW on the 12z Euro vs 0z.
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The heavy rain it gives you?
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I think it’s way too premature to toss this. GFS actually brings qpf well west and kind of shows a double barreled strung out structure. Having cmc as the most robust of the 12z suite so far does not give me warm amd fuzzies but even 108+ hours out this system is not at all able to be tossed or accepted.
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Euro still well offshore with minimal impact verbatim. Trying for an inverted trough which could be a sign that we’re heading for a more robust solution in the coming days.
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1/19-20 sne and NNE particularly Maine.
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Big time nuke on 1/19 for BOS
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I like the timing on gfs. My wife’s returning from Chicago after a long time caring for her mom. Gfs says she may get in before the meat of whatever happens comes. Flight due 9pm Tuesday night.
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I think if we take an average of the British today (UKMET-Euro) we’d do fine...lol.
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Tip starts the thread and the euro immediately says “not so fast!”
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I thought we were talking about UKMET. Silly me!
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You do. The low runs west of you on the ukmet.
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Except uncle is actually a front ender with everyone raining as the storm runs well west of sne.
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Do you have a climo chart? Purples on our side of the pole have been lacking until quite recently.
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Does not look torchy at the end to me.....
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Ok looking at 12z I’m back in. Nice break after the weekend storm and rainy storm last night and upcoming ONE more rainer in the series. 1/16 looks to me like a nice prelude to a biggie 1/20 ish.
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Kevin wants an ice storm so he can lose power. As transformers were crackling during the 2011 Octoberbomb he reported his wife and daughters were leaving. Daughters were crying, Kev running through the house yelling weeeeee! Kev’s family realizes he’s one of a kind and accept his insanity.
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Seems like a play with fire pattern in the long range GEFS/GEPS. Dateline ridging but a little too far west for my liking. This leading retro PNA opening the door for cutters. With that said, we can also score big time so it's high risk/high reward as I see it. Cold dump on our side of the NHEM and hopefully not eventually over our faces.
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We devolve
