weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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All that proves is ...nothing. Solutions beyond d6 are often random luck. So you can't say ICON/CMC etc had this all along. I didn't include uncle because how many systems did models converge on only for uncle to send it to Bermuda inside of 72 hours....
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If the gfs and euro consistently show a hit sustained run to run I could care less about cmc or uncle which have been pretty bad for quite awhile now.
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MCI,CVG,DCA/BWI and in between getting 6-12+. Been quite awhile since the south of 40 crew had such a widespread heavy snow event. MCI currently 16/13 with heavy snow.
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I think we have reason to be guardedly optimistic. We had 3 shots a week ago with the current system giving DC 6-10 #1. We knew #1 was a miss for close to a week. #2 and #3 are in a better environment (less damage from NAO vs help potentially). We’re 0 for 1 but we have more middling pitchers to face for #2 and #3. Sooner or later we will score something. We’re not going 30 days with no water from the heavens.
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Just an observation. We’ll find out if it has any relevance for this event.
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It seems that it is quite common for models to show a big solution and then lose it in the d4-7 range before roaring it back to life.
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So far the entire 12z suite is a miss. Waiting on euro. Uncle should be ignored after a Saturday night party.
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No. I almost never get up that late. Usually 9:45-10:15 ish. I can’t imagine going to bed when it’s light out and I’m not ill.
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Yeah now shortly after midnight we have the euro. I’ve always been a night owl. I remember being 6 years old and being forced to go to bed. I rarely fell asleep for hours. Now that I’ve been released by the clock most of the world runs on I’m on a 2am-10am sleep schedule.
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How do you manage it in the summer when it’s light till 9?
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Contrary to your construct, few are in bed at 11pm Saturday night while there’s is an interesting gfs euro run on tap. Also, most are not awake at 4:30AM.
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Play or sing this to your wife and you’re sure to have a happy ending..
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Actually that’s true. But it would then quickly occlude reducing intensity of qpf so we need to score in the first half imho.
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Yeah it’s a fairly short lived taint. A few hours or less.
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He’ll eventually be right for now now it is the analog for every big storm.
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That’s 12+ for most of us and the 12+ is conservative. Ray up to the lakes region over to PWM get 2 feet.
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D23 progs….
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You and Mitch. Sick muthufukkas but we love you.
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He’s injury prone. He’s out for game 17.
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The best snow in the coming weeks should be in the Ontario zones. A trip to the tug may be in order. They have some cool places to stay and eat and everyone is on a sled riding around and you can rent them. QPF charts suggest feet and feet are possible.
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I should be more diligent. I use it in my arms and legs but wash my hands so frequently that sometimes cracks just proliferate.
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My fingers are a mess from the last cold stab. I'm hoping we get some qpf because old skin is taking a beating.
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I get it to 168 on SV but no 6/18.
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Euro if anything lost a bit from 18Z. Tomorrow 12Z we officially bury this threat from the MA/CT border northward.
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It used to be more available but never beyond 72 hours. It's also, despite its reputation, in my mind a sub par model. I forgot about the old Plymouth site which had it so i defaulted to it doesn't happen incorrectly apparently.
