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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    It seems we’re in a period of high volatility in both directions. At the very least wx will be interesting.
  2. weathafella
    585 on gefs is about 1500 miles further south.
  3. weathafella
    Can you post the gefs for the same hour considering it’s day 13?
  4. weathafella
    Not perfect but definitely an improvement on 12Z guidance today.
  5. weathafella
    HRRR too. Odd setup for snow but some cold infusion in the early hours of tomorrow may make it work.
  6. weathafella
    I may not be awake if it happens but a resounding maybe.
  7. weathafella
    I thought I saw a weenie flake about 7:30PM. One flake or dust particle. I’m not counting it. Another cold early December night. 12/1-8 will certainly average solidly subnormal. Next week looks above unless we can pull off a scooter high.
  8. weathafella
    NAM says why bother for 95% of us.
  9. weathafella
    That little snow shower is blowup over Wolfie
  10. weathafella
    Will is still posting so there’s hope….
  11. weathafella
    Doesn’t everyone?
  12. weathafella
    I’m expecting about 1-2 inches imby. Timing is good as the warmest part of the event is when it’s basically done.
  13. weathafella
    Same for me. But hope springs eternal this time of the year.
  14. weathafella
    Agree. It’s like France without jet lag.
  15. weathafella
    Where? I’ll give you above the arctic circle but who cares? If it were subnormal they’d be hogging the cold.
  16. weathafella
    How so? Warm on the North Pole isn’t 50…lol. Kind of a nice wintry look temperature wise but I’d rather see H5 and 850. Canada and the northern tier of the USA stays cold. 2M tends to have poor reliability in the long range.
  17. weathafella
    It’s a SWFE which won’t be in that form. It depicts a cutter that can’t run up against the confluence. It could easily be a standard SWFE of snow to ice to rain for our location.
  18. weathafella
    As currently modeled its pike north. But it wouldn’t take much to include southern areas.
  19. weathafella
    They’re fat everywhere this fall going into winter. We’ll see but I tend to think they’re lying conspirators.
  20. weathafella
    That’s a plowable event on the 8th with a big SWFE cooking a few days later.
  21. weathafella
    I think we’re AOB now to almost mid month. AOA mid month to late December. Pattern starts changing back to colder between Christmas and new years, heading much below NYD to mid January with a dramatic flip warmer mid January into February. Snow is always a wildcard with obviously much better probability during the cold periods but still on the table for well timed events during the warmups.
  22. weathafella
    Above. Remember normal today is well above in 2 weeks.
  23. weathafella
    Definitely a close the shades look for at least a week.
  24. weathafella
    This picture actually looks like heavy snow.
  25. weathafella
    Well I was not here for 82 but sorry-as amazing as 97 was, the day before was spring like and we lost 6 inches of it when the snow started tapering off before the sun came out as the storm ended. 93 was legit but it changed over to rain here kind of killing the winter vibe. Contrast to 12/12/60, 12/5-7/03, 12/26/10 which we’re more wintry than the outlier once in a lifetimes late season.
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