Going back to 1999-00 the NAVGEM precursor NOGAPS alone signaled the first flakes for BOS amazingly 1/12/00 with a nice 4-7 event. They nailed it! Keep hope alive!
Unless you can pile something up by 1/20, futility is quite doable for YBY. Harder at BOS given a dinkleshit system passing well SE could give a few inches sometimes.
At what point do we entertain the real possibility of futility? I mean the pattern is good but the we're in a serious slump. Sometimes slumps are season long.
I don't really care what the op euro has. It seems the GEFS/EPS are improving run to run. In 2 days there will be excellent sampling and likely a converged model signal hopefully for a big one.