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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. weathafella
    Euro popping a tremendous deluge in AEMAATT.
  2. weathafella
    As he licks his chops he theoretically hopes it misses?
  3. weathafella
    In the gfs family it seems AI has been pretty consistent vs standard gfs op guidance.
  4. weathafella
    It’s on deck circle replacement is quite different
  5. weathafella
    I think warm and wet should be the default forecast for the upcoming winter. However, unlike the lowest snow winters which tended to be low qpf, there will be snow imho ranging from 50-80% of normal. It should be quite stormy but the majority of the storms will probably be wet. However as others have mentioned, it takes 1-2 big events with just enough cold to allow snow to bring totals close to normal hence the 80% ceiling.
  6. weathafella
    The best leanto I’ve been to was about 50 years ago. The Guyot Shelter with an elevated plank to lay your sleeping bag such that you had a full view of the presidentials across the valley. The shelter is around 4300 feet up near the tree line. We were packing everything in and out. I’ve been atop My Whitney and other spectacular hikes above 12,000 feet in the west but that night at the Guyot Shelter is tops.
  7. weathafella
    I actually would love to see a big benchmark track in mid winter with wind and rain everywhere in New England. The head explosions would be worth the price of admission. I don’t consider myself a mean person but I do have an evil bone at times….
  8. weathafella
    First half AOA normal, 2nd half AOB. Rinse and repeat this summer.
  9. weathafella
    Build your ark…
  10. weathafella
    Really weird and eerie glow. Give me sun any day of the week. I’m feeling it physically and avoiding outdoor activities. Today I’m on campus in Worcester all day so hopefully when I drive home it will have shifted. Flat out sucks. And despite the obvious cap on temperatures it’s plenty hot. 88 now and obviously a higher ceiling if it clears somewhat. @ineedsnow, anyway you slice it this is an unexpected hot summer so far.
  11. weathafella
    Nice soaker. We had a good deluge for 6 hours embedded in the lighter rain. Ok I’m ready to go back to summer.
  12. weathafella
    18z NAM gives me 4”.
  13. weathafella
    I know you see this every event winter and summer. The first pulse stays south of the MA/CT border and the 2nd one floods many who are shocked despite guidance clearly showing the trend for days.
  14. weathafella
    Everything I’ve seen suggests (at least for mby-eastern pike region) the rain moves in tonight and we heavy late into the first half of tomorrow. I’m hopeful that is right because we’re way drier vs normal-like 50% ytd.
  15. weathafella
    First time in 85 years per Oceanwx earlier in the thread.
  16. weathafella
    Thanks! 2 years in a row with hundies.
  17. weathafella
    BOS was 100 long enough for it to count. Waiting for the tale of the tape…
  18. weathafella
    We’re weenies-extremes are where it’s at-bring it!
  19. weathafella
    So we’re back to big heat during the second half of the upcoming week?
  20. weathafella
    So far, late June through the first 10 days of July resembles 1999. To me this is different from early Nino summer.
  21. weathafella
    Finally getting a whole new central AC for the house just in time. Starts tomorrow and done hopefully by the end of Friday. Just in the nick of time for next weeks heater.
  22. weathafella
    Actually most days have been AOA although yesterday and today no. Remember, it’s June and this month averages about 5-7F less than July so expectations should be kept in check. July looks to start hot but what’s Independence Day without heat?
  23. weathafella
    June has been well above normal. That’s not debatable.
  24. weathafella
    That’s the biggest difference I see and that kind of brings us into the summer vibe.
  25. weathafella
    I think we’ve made it past the worst part of spring cold rains. Most days looking forward look AOA normal temperature wise and plenty of sun.
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