luckyweather

not supposed to diagnose over the Internet but at this point he has earned it. been watching the guy over the years, he clearly has a comorbidity of seasonal affective disorder (sad) and obsessive compulsive disorder (ocd). I wouldn't say it's seen often but it is not incredibly rare either. the obsession with warmth / warm weather / spring arrival, looking for signs of an early spring / entry into summer is a legitimate trauma response to intense bouts of depression from the SAD. he may have had a trauma event in the winter as well, possibly a relationship ending, lost a job, a partner being unfaithful, could also be elements of deep envy of a more successful neighbor/friend/family member who excels in winter or a winter activity. The need to invalidate or diminish the enjoyment of the season and its attributes he sees as negative in others is dark triad manifestation, you can see a little of all - narcissism, sociopathy and psychopathy. Unfortunately I am being part of the problem as this is an individual that seems to feed on the energy of others reacting to and engaging with him (even things like putting weenie tags on his posts or the posts of those who contradict him, etc). Best from here forward to completely ignore his posts and if we could get a mod who is a trusted regular in the sub who can delete his comments quickly to minimize the engagement with them and ban his alts as he makes them. Until then since we're relying on board admins and other sub mods this will likely be a pretty big ongoing nuisance. That said I doubt this board is the only outlet for his mental illness, inevitable he self destructs elsewhere in life if that's the case.

Primary factors for time to melt / rate of melt are a combo of sustained winds, humidity, sky cover, hours above freezing and to what degree with secondary factors including frost depth and sun angle.

I'm in a rural subdivision on a wooded acre lot. We do a number of things to help support the local ecosystem with certain foods we put out daily for both the daytime and nocturnal feeders and have a steady nightly group of visitors we catch on camera. Since Saturday I've only seen cats at night, where over the winter to date every night we'd have several possums, raccoons, an occasional skunk, an occasional fox. I know one of the possums has a burrow/den at the edge of my property so he's not feeding elsewhere, he's just not leaving his den. Have to believe that's the case for the others as well. Have a bird that has been making a continual single chirp every few seconds the past two nights, I am guessing to try to stay alive or warm? Have never seen that before, it's way up in a tree so there's nothing I can do and I don't know if it's in trouble anyway or that's a normal thing. As a winter lover my enthusiasm is offset by the fact that this level of deep and sustained cold is just so hard on human life & the less hardy wildlife. Very interested to see what visitors make it back after this is over and which didn't make it. It really offing sucks that we'll blow all this next week with rain. While I don't want it to stay sub-zero, normalizing back to highs near freezing and lows in the teens and a snowstorm next week would have been primo. This deep cold and then rain in late January is just f'in stupid.

That was a few miles northwest of Harvard looking east / southeast. For sure, you are welcome to share/use, that would be awesome!

Beautiful picture perfect sun dog out now for folks west of Chicago. Have been driving for about 30 miles west to east and still visible now.

sad to see the lackluster storm performance for my friends in the city. north of Rockford we did great but actually kind of underperformed with about 8” locally as there were some 11” lollipops on either side of us. daughter had ski team practice this morning at Wilmot, the Matterhorn of the Midwest. Snow was great, a nice layer of champagne powder from the overnight and early morning drier few inch topper that came down. enchanted views driving to and from the ski area with the snow just plastered on the landscape.

nice and unexpected surface covering this morning on ski race day here at Chestnut Mountain in Galena, IL. perfect timing for winter to show up, on race day #1 of the season.

Snowed last night near the summit of Mauna Kea on the big island. Since I’m here I had to go up and see it, since it’s not a thing at 43 north in Illinois this winter it seems. Pics from this afternoon.

Just saw this and came here to post as well. RIP John Dee.

Canada / Laurasia was well north of the equator by the Jurassic, (was equatorial more toward the Cambrian), not sure if palm guy is up on his paleogeology or was just a lucky guess, but as you said the planet was *hot* in the Jurassic with 4x the co2 of today from volcanism and there are palm fossils on the Canadian coasts from both the Jurassic even going into the Cretaceous. Got so hot in the early Jurassic the ocean died / the Jenkyns event. As an oil and gas guy, that’s when some of the rich deposits originate. When our ecosystems and biomes collapse and the palms return to Canada our decay will lay down a nice field of jet fuel for whatever life form takes over next in a few hundred million years.

Police picked up an alligator on Grant Park beach in South Milwaukee on Monday. Why do I get the sense this is @hardypalmguy’s doings? First the palms, then the flamingos, now this

Campi Flegrei supervolcano in Italy acting like it’s going to blow soon. Last week the US DoD told staff in the region to have a go bag ready at all times. Climate wise it could go either way / so much ash we keep a low latitude snowpack all year for a year, or flood the atmosphere with so much c02 the warming gets a hit of rocket fuel. Something to keep an eye on.

Found a new webcam in the western UP to watch for the onset of winter.

Not much of a start to Siberian snow cover season if one looks to such things to inform on winter expectations here.

22/23 was a D- winter for a cold/snow lover west of Chicago. Other than the cold blast (with no real snow) just before Christmas, it had no redeeming qualities. No sustained cold, no snowpack, no big storms. And no mega torches / Morch that would at least add a novelty factor. It’s my nightmare that 23/24 is a redux.

Shitposting from just about any other poster. But you lob a 3 letter forecast and it verifies. If we pay $99 per month can we get the sauce behind your forecasts?

Been missing your longer range thoughts recently. Come back to us.

This is like mostly a swag but I’m kind of prepared for a low snow winter, probably a few soul crushing (for a winter lover) cool / cold rainers, and the chance of a handful of heavy wet marginal thermals thundersnow featuring big dogs with a scary close rain/snow line when we tap some probably fleeting cold. At my and your latitude any sustained snow cover probably not gonna happen as we’ll probably see a ridiculous warmup or three or four / bike riding weather. Probably a bone dry 30-45 day stretch from Christmas to mid Feb. I’ve set my expectations, anything worse than that though and I’ll probably need to find a therapist. edit: also a better pattern will show up around 3/20 and it’ll stay cool til May 15. You’ll highlight all the misery all winter and troll the hell out of me and then I’ll get some penance as I watch you squirm when winter shows up in spring.

Looking like we could see a dip or two of lows in the 30s the holiday weekend but also looks like maybe just for 3-5 days and then back to average/above average. Way longer term I was kind of getting worried the climate train wreck would manifest in Siberia torching or something this fall. Not the greatest start but the Siberian snowpack did start building about two weeks ago so a total train wreck northern hemisphere year without a winter disaster scenario looks to be off the table.

how do you mute somebody on here

little throwback to when Chicago was near the equator

Skilling showing some love to the cold & snow lovers. I'm not Andy (my snowmaking rig is better). Won't be long.

Quick getaway for some MTB in Park City UT on Labor Day weekend, drove up to Big Cottonwood Canyon on Sunday night as a big storm was moving in. Was all rain while I was there but woke up the next morning to see they got their first measurable snow later that night. Flew home to find nothing but 70s and even a 60 in the point looking ahead. Life is good.

Ridge looking beastly. Seeming like this could end up being the headline heat event of the summer. Gonna scorch solid from Sunday to Thursday.