luckyweather

beggars can’t be choosers

looking like a toasty morch on tap lol

EPS weeklies showing greenland block at the end of the run, hopefully get some sustained bud killing deep freeze conditions to bring us well into March. brrrr

I’ve been buying the ski Wisconsin passport the past few years. They start selling them around Halloween/Thanksgiving (never a consistent date), you have to watch and be quick, they usually sell around a max of 500. This year they sold out in a few days. $150-$199 and you get around 20 lift tickets to most hills, including all the hills around the stateline. Little Switz, Devils Head, Cascade, Alpine, Wilmot, Christmas, Nordic, LaCrosse, etc. The only notable missing is Granite Peak. DH’s ticket price last weekend was $78 so you can see how quick you’re in the money with the passport. You should check it out this fall! Yeah Pierce is still no swimming. We get away with a little rebellion by stand up paddling the lake and then “oh no I’ve lost my balance I guess I have to fall in the lake and swim back to my board!”. Olson Lake in the park allows swimming and they recently underwent a big project to rebuild that beach.

Got all my moneys worth out of winter in one weekend. Ran the snowguns for the last time all day Thursday and Friday and built up my backyard terrain park base, should hold on until 4/1 regardless as to what temps get thrown at us. Got a couple fat bike to breakfast rides in on the snowmobile trail, fantastic conditions yesterday on one of the area forest preserves’s groomed xc trails, and went ice skating with my family on the frozen Pierce Lake at Rock Cut state park. Capped it off with an afternoon skiing Devils Head, fully open today, and made my way over to their double black run, Outer Limits and conquered it. That just leaves Warpath at Chestnut and I’ll have conquered all the IL/WI hills. The way it’s looking that one’s gonna have to wait til next winter. It sucks that true winter conditions have been so compressed, and I’m blessed that we got what we got last weekend here in northern Winnebago county IL, I’d have never got the xc skis, fatties, or ice skates out the whole winter had we not got last weekends dump and the following cold. Whatever happens from here I’m at peace with it. That said not gonna lie and say I won’t get some joy out of a palm killer style deep freeze in early spring.

guilty I do enjoy around -5 to 15 or so degrees a lot. I wouldn’t want to live somewhere like that all year but a couple good stretches like that in the winter months are thrilling for me. When you have a good layering system the cold isn’t much of a factor in comfort. Love when the lakes freeze over good and solid and I can get out and ice skate, don’t sweat as bad Nordic skiing, and it keeps the normies off the ski hills. As well, nothing better than a quiet winter mid day hike around 5-10 degrees. There’s just an entirely different vibe. Getting down below about -5 I get into the law of diminishing returns, harder to layer to stay warm, cars less reliable, harder on the wildlife, etc. I’m okay with not dipping down into the extremes too often but it is nice to get a -20 low every few years for a day or two.

Sunshine the past two days west of ORD has been a welcome change. Odds of a super volcano eruption this century (ice age inducing to some degree) are 1 in 170. Odds of a large/Pinatubo style eruption are 1 in 6. Volcanos may be our only hope for a decent winter at 43 north given how things are trending.

Kind of looks like Mannheim at the MMF

do you think tomorrow’s wind will create a multi hour ground stop at ord?

Mchenry county, IL abusing emergency warning system to send out a tornado warning style critical alert that their offices are closing early due to weather. Somebody needs to get their access to the system suspended. Edit: guess I’m not the only person who got them, Twitter lighting up:

Def high impact but I think that’s a little premature. I personally have a flight at 6pm Friday out of ORD and am getting pretty nervous but I’d be pissed if UA cxl’ed the flight at this stage. Tuesday AM I think is the earliest we’ll see any actual schedule changes if things stay steady as progged in short range window.

this would make ban 3 but who’s counting. didn’t realize forum rules allowed for making new accounts to evade bans.

Kicked off ski season at Alpine Valley yesterday in Elkhorn, WI, they were able to get 100% open with the cold stretch, looking more like January in Bavaria in this shot from last night than the reality of a pretty pleasant Wisconsin November night.

Team evergreen represent. Although iirc Cyclone was working on a redwood? I could get behind that.

This. Trend has not been our friend past several years. A little cautious optimism that we’re at least starting out differently. Justin Berk/ east coast tv met said this a few days ago: “Yes, I have a love for snow, but work hard to keep my bias out of my forecasting. What I have learned is that early cold often leads to a mild start to winter. So a mild start to November may very well allow that cold to build elsewhere and reach us when the time is right. “ Judah is Judah but worth noting he’s got some cautious optimism also with progged Ural blocking getting the PV going places.

going to enjoy bumping this at the right moment.

Shakespearian even

you’d think. PM LOT AFD sums it up: “From a broader view, national satellite imagery bolstered by RAP-analyzed height fields depict an expansive summer-like ridge across much of the United States with the apex of mid-level heights over the central Plains. The pattern sure looks more like July than September!” —— Latest 90 in Chicago is 10/6/63 (94). Looks cool through the first, so I’d be willing to wager $20 this was the last.

I biked the Katy Trail from St Louis to central MO in the totality zone. I had a hard time getting a shuttle booked as MO emergency management authorities had hyped up the traffic so much everybody was scared to drive, including shuttle operators. IMO they overdid it, traffic was heavy for about 4-6 hours but nothing cataclysmic like they were hyping (there will be no water, lawlessness, traffic gridlock for days, etc). That aside, experiencing it in totality was amazing, 10/10 would do again. Short lived but felt it in my soul in a way I’ll never forget.

Good time to start the thread, IMO, with the birth of this season’s PV.

August was an idyllic month in the Rockford region. About as close to a paradise as I can imagine. The most comfortable temps, abundant sunshine, abundant rains, a lush landscape. Even miraculously the mosquitos stayed at bay. It was a great month.

Coincidentally the Atlantic published this story today - To Fight Climate Change Get a White Roof https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/08/fight-climate-change-get-white-roof/671287/?utm_source=apple_news

a little west of the Huron-cane. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996_Lake_Huron_cyclone

Currently snowing with light accumulations in the Rockies west of Denver. https://www.cotrip.org/camera/597/@-105.80914,39.76082,13?show=normalCameras,roadWork,winterDriving,roadReports,weatherWarnings

Getting into dangerously OT territory, and a bit of a derail, but I’ve always wondered why don’t building codes require white or close to white roofs? Albedo effect contributed to feedback loops that perpetuated ice ages, so you get the benefit of more solar reflection vs absorption, and less carbon being used to cool in warm months. Balance that with loss of solar assistance in winter heating though. As well, wonder what the difference in UHI effect is between an asphalt/seal coated road / parking lot and a lighter colored concrete surface. Instinct says those two things (no more asphalt, light colored roofs) could make a big difference.