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Everything posted by luckyweather
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Winter 2022/23 Medium/Long Range Discussion
luckyweather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
this would make ban 3 but who’s counting. didn’t realize forum rules allowed for making new accounts to evade bans. -
Kicked off ski season at Alpine Valley yesterday in Elkhorn, WI, they were able to get 100% open with the cold stretch, looking more like January in Bavaria in this shot from last night than the reality of a pretty pleasant Wisconsin November night.
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Team evergreen represent. Although iirc Cyclone was working on a redwood? I could get behind that.
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This. Trend has not been our friend past several years. A little cautious optimism that we’re at least starting out differently. Justin Berk/ east coast tv met said this a few days ago: “Yes, I have a love for snow, but work hard to keep my bias out of my forecasting. What I have learned is that early cold often leads to a mild start to winter. So a mild start to November may very well allow that cold to build elsewhere and reach us when the time is right. “ Judah is Judah but worth noting he’s got some cautious optimism also with progged Ural blocking getting the PV going places.
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going to enjoy bumping this at the right moment.
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Shakespearian even
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you’d think. PM LOT AFD sums it up: “From a broader view, national satellite imagery bolstered by RAP-analyzed height fields depict an expansive summer-like ridge across much of the United States with the apex of mid-level heights over the central Plains. The pattern sure looks more like July than September!” —— Latest 90 in Chicago is 10/6/63 (94). Looks cool through the first, so I’d be willing to wager $20 this was the last.
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Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I biked the Katy Trail from St Louis to central MO in the totality zone. I had a hard time getting a shuttle booked as MO emergency management authorities had hyped up the traffic so much everybody was scared to drive, including shuttle operators. IMO they overdid it, traffic was heavy for about 4-6 hours but nothing cataclysmic like they were hyping (there will be no water, lawlessness, traffic gridlock for days, etc). That aside, experiencing it in totality was amazing, 10/10 would do again. Short lived but felt it in my soul in a way I’ll never forget. -
Good time to start the thread, IMO, with the birth of this season’s PV.
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August was an idyllic month in the Rockford region. About as close to a paradise as I can imagine. The most comfortable temps, abundant sunshine, abundant rains, a lush landscape. Even miraculously the mosquitos stayed at bay. It was a great month.
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Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Coincidentally the Atlantic published this story today - To Fight Climate Change Get a White Roof https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/08/fight-climate-change-get-white-roof/671287/?utm_source=apple_news -
a little west of the Huron-cane. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996_Lake_Huron_cyclone
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Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Currently snowing with light accumulations in the Rockies west of Denver. https://www.cotrip.org/camera/597/@-105.80914,39.76082,13?show=normalCameras,roadWork,winterDriving,roadReports,weatherWarnings -
Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Getting into dangerously OT territory, and a bit of a derail, but I’ve always wondered why don’t building codes require white or close to white roofs? Albedo effect contributed to feedback loops that perpetuated ice ages, so you get the benefit of more solar reflection vs absorption, and less carbon being used to cool in warm months. Balance that with loss of solar assistance in winter heating though. As well, wonder what the difference in UHI effect is between an asphalt/seal coated road / parking lot and a lighter colored concrete surface. Instinct says those two things (no more asphalt, light colored roofs) could make a big difference. -
NWS 7 day doesn’t have a high above 79 here west of Chicago taking us into 8/21. It’s not extreme in one direction or another, but I cannot recall a stretch this long in recent Augusts so mild. A torch in the vicinity of Labor Day seems like a seasonal tradition, I’d be shocked if we didn’t have one, that said GEFS shows mild / below average heights through the end of August into met fall with the positive anomalies locked up northwest and northeast. We may have lucked out on the ridiculous heat much of the N. Hemisphere saw this summer, but I don’t want to gloat too much, I fear our ticket will get punched soon enough.
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Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
An active December will be a welcome change of pace as opposed to the past several years. (Save for tornado outbreaks in Kentucky.) -
Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Michsnowfreak takes over DTX and I’m working on LOT, we’ll collectively drive the board insane. Headed up to trek the mt baker snowfield in Washington next week to tide me over, and maybe get into some of the snowfields in the Canadian Rockies if the Mounties let me across the border. I’ll post pics to earn my ban. -
Summer 2022 Medium/Long Range Discussion
luckyweather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
luckyweather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
My weather station is out of service so nothing scientific on rain, just heavy, and had some brief pea sized hail on the cell/line that just went through Rockford. Good lightning producer but no wind to speak of before during or after. -
Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I respect your opinion. I have one too. I love this place. I love our weather. No place I’d rather be. -
Spring/Summer 2022 Complaint/Banter Hangout
luckyweather replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I love it here at 43 north / 90 west. NC IL is my own personal paradise. Admittedly if I wasn’t an hour from ORD for a quick escape when I need a change of scenery maybe I’d feel different. To each their own. -
Top event of the winter. Not even close.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
luckyweather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ripping on the IL/WI state line in ne Winnebago county IL. Stacking up, right around 1” so far. -
Flight was cancelled. Now I try to be a nice person, but doorbell cam still showing not even a snowman fart on the front walk. Beavis topping rant incoming.
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Sitting here north of Rockford staring at 0.0. Have to fly out of ORD this afternoon. As bad as it gets. No consolation prize of snow at home, white knuckle drive to ORD, and likely delay/flight cancel. I will not feel guilty next Rockford jackpot.