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WEATHER53

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  1. WEATHER53
    However it turns out, when we had our best maps 2-3 days ago there was no low even to the west coast Beside showing all scenarios models try to microscope things when they should be binoculars or telescopes. They try to predict very specific things for the east coast before Anything has showed up on the west coast or gulf coast and they rarely can do that successfully
  2. WEATHER53
    9pm obs Thin overcast 33.2/23 407’ elevation 30.37 and steady
  3. WEATHER53
    30.15-30.30 is golden, higher than that becomes suppressive and under 30.00 and we lose the cold air. This is at the onset and during the event , my current 30.37 will not be suppressive but is a good high point to start the fall from. With a weaker low that is very well placed we can make it down to 29.85. There are exceptions but it’s a great indicator
  4. WEATHER53
    Thin overcast 35/22. High of 40 3.5F temp drop since 5pm
  5. WEATHER53
    Been dark about 40 minutes and temp has dropped 3 degrees to 36.5/22 Dont worry about the thin clouds holding temps up, the 30.35 high and n-nw light breezes are controlling. We are probably going to be 32/25 at event start time and drop to 29/30 with the evap. I don’t think freezing rain will be an issue. I think honestly it’s just too hard to tell what’s going to happen between 1-9pm but I do think by 9 it’s all snow for DC and north and west .
  6. WEATHER53
    Yeah I jumped the gun on that a bit.
  7. WEATHER53
    His principal role is to be a snow hope buster. It’s for our own good and that sort of stuff. There have Always been one or two for decades.
  8. WEATHER53
    Most of the day was 39-42 and your observation from 11am that this afternoon would torch because it was 40 at 11am was incorrect. Save the despondency for banter
  9. WEATHER53
    A misdiagnosis that was made at 11am and repeated was that since temp was 40 at 11am we were already in trouble with rising temps. The sun strength is zero right now and rising barometer with fresh nw breeze allows no afternoon warming and that is what happened Expert similar cold air exertion for the text of the way. I was 38/20 at 11am and 39/20 now, that’s a snower for me
  10. WEATHER53
    I think the cold air source will be less tepid and shallow than is popularly discussed. It began to establish itself late last night and is not the stale 48 hour stuff that often messes us up, tight nowIm 38/20 with a 30.28. That’s near perfection and other time in the past when things appeared more optimistic I never got into an ideal range like described currently its going to be a nowcast event..
  11. WEATHER53
    I think the dismissals of the high last night are looking incorrect. DC built rapidly and steadily overnight and is continuing. 1028 here right now on a high that is forecasted to be 1032-1036 1000 miles to our north is an excellent showing down here at this time
  12. WEATHER53
    The high at this point is doing what it can, below zero at Canadian border. Back to snow 6-7pm
  13. WEATHER53
    Really wont be able to grasp the effect of the high unti about 3-6 hours pre event then during onset to completion it’s in situation
  14. WEATHER53
    There was TWC or Accu weather then Wright then Eastern then Anerican somewhere around 2004 about 6 of us met at Inner Harbour in Baltimore and discussed creating a weather board with conferences and it came true i don’t have all of this right but mostly so Randy, Marcus,me,I think Matt and maybe Ian and 1-2 more were there.
  15. WEATHER53
    Partly why we want that high to slow down and not move across Maine. If it does then the clockwise fliw tucksthe low closer to the coast. If not then low gets further east
  16. WEATHER53
    I think we have all key elements near perrfection. The high is no longer racing eastward and if it can get 125 miles southwest of most dipictions I think it would be perfect .
  17. WEATHER53
    I like it colder in Pittsburg than Boston and they are about even on the maps. Not bad but perfection would resolve any potential temp issues
  18. WEATHER53
    Talked last night about high. Need it closer to tip of Hudson than Maine
  19. WEATHER53
    Norfolk getting no higher than 40 will be a key in if milder air is surging toward here
  20. WEATHER53
    Well we’ve seen the utter best of it so now what’s next? I like the 5 day away as best sensing but I know insurmountable change can occur. Looks like no one thinking it gets jerked away.
  21. WEATHER53
    This was my thundersnow King with about 10 flashes, real muffled and wierd thunder sound in heavy snow. Sometimes thunder but no flash . 1” in 10 minutes, 3” in 60 minutes.
  22. WEATHER53
    Gotta watch how far the primary gets north. Too far and it can make the transfer too far east and north. That’s about all that can screw us as the high does look very good. I want it further west to help squash that primary so be fun to follow
  23. WEATHER53
    When was last time we saw graphics like this?
  24. WEATHER53
    David it’s so much better that you stay. Nobody is a better discusser of weather in a concise manner. Ji and I have mostly made peace but his constant instigation and needling of valuable contributors has grown old. A solution that would work is a 2-3 day suspension right at the prime time of an impending and occurrent event. That is a behavior changer. Let’s emphasize weather instead of the titillation of the same two guys carrying on s 15 year sparring session.
  25. WEATHER53
    I will never forget it. He said “biblical proportions”
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