WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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Enso not the sure hand it was in the past. Would be interesting to have a strong Nina and DC still gets decent cold and snow. Some other proverbial assurities ENSO wise have had that happen since about 2000.
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That’s correct The analogs are in and it’s not a snow drought nor heat wave
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I think there is too much emphasis on ever evolving indexes thar are unproven as to their veracity and effects. SSW shows little, MJO a little bit better, but stuff like the Indian ocean dipole and a dozen others like it I feel are mostly theory and looking for different ways to reinvent the wheel. They do provide elaborate discussion from the poster and as you suggested that appears to be the main motivation for the posting
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Can’t get it right all the time. Him, Matt R, Raleigh, Ray, KA, and couple more do well generally. He will contribute later
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
WEATHER53 replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
What were the other 3? -
Shredded Homestead AFB. Think reports were 2’ thick ribar was no match
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Enso has become less of a predictor than 20+ years ago. Mostly don’t want strong low pressure out in Pacific off nw and AK and really can’t tell about that until December. -AO/-NAO has been showing me it’s The Factor for mid Atlantic. Raymundo gets his cold air easier
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I see 2013 and last year 2021 in posts and I too have them.
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0.75” downpour from 7:30-7:50. Orioles!
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Pretty much finished and will be released early on 9/15 its not going to be another boring ass+5F winter with 7” of snow. More later
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What’s the years total 90+ this year, like 27/28?
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80 at 7 and 70 at 8. The wonders of afternoon 25-30% rh in August around DC!
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Finally it’s not swamp air. Temp dropped from 81 at 7 to 68 at 9.
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The intersection of Kenilworth and EW Hwy both slope downward into that intersection . In 2006 there was3’ of water there for like 12 hours
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Daily temp drop picking up speed
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
WEATHER53 replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Joe, much like David , are excellent at discussing the Synoptics of what is required for hurricanes and big snows but they are both poor in assessing if the upcoming situation is what will produce one. -
Temps were pretty good with DCA 94. C- Iad 93. B Bwi 92 A Andrews 89 A Also think I had the right idea that flooding rainfall would be at a minimum
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I think 25% of the area had heavy rain. Don’t know if any flooding. Maybe 10% had 2-3” report. For here 0.26” in 40 minutes of moderate rain, 3 minutes of heavy rain and impressive 40mph gust. Lightning much less than yesterday.
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East component to light breezes so won’t get 95-99 today, more like 88-93 so just not quite enough juice max to get us widespread flooding rains.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
WEATHER53 replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
More firing up Warrenton VA -
Looks like it pulled up anddissipated right at the end and is that townhouses to right of frame? Whatever it is was spared.
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Wow is right and think it was over water until the end when it did hit something and then weakened. Gonna be a big video
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Probably going to be longest duration of the season. Looks like 2 more heavy possibly severe batches
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Gusts to 50 in Frederick
