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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. That very long southerly fetch produces that but it’s rare
  2. Seems like many places had 3/4 consecutive hours of 40+ gusts topping out at 50
  3. For sure we are having ample low pressures and just gotta get cold that isn’t gone in 25 hours.
  4. Warmest I’ve ever seen real flakes was 47 on a March boil up snow shower day.
  5. Wow! I think the only one that is not on the map is a gale warning and that’s because it’s a storm warning
  6. Frequent gusts well over 30 im seeing these like 8” tall 4 feet long sheets of wind driven heavy rain fly by and in those “strips” I can t see through them Anyone else?
  7. Nasty ass day for sure. 60 and driving rain is rough but 45 and same is too cold and difficult
  8. This sounds funky old fashioned but it’s almost like the gears don’t mesh and grind the same way anymore. That in turn seems to make the 3-5 days not solid anymore and we are down to 1-3 for solid accuracy
  9. Models do a good job with cold outbreaks. This is rollover cold coming in from Midwest which is not as good for us and cold that moves over eastern Lakes and se and down upon us. Those below zero readings in OV will moderate by 20F by time it gets here but that’s still around 20 for 7am Get that pouring in se from eastern lakes and we have a low around 5F.
  10. The winds on the Bridge coming up that very long fetch from the south is killer. I’ve been in some 45mph stuff that was scary . When it’s like winter cold fronts and very windy from nw it’s somehow not like 50 miles of open water
  11. Ra**y it gotten too hard. I would not miss like I did last one pre 2012. And it’s happened too much in last 12 years. Reliable enso the NAO and AO are not the predictors they once were. Solid cold air now moves out in a heartbeat. Planetary changes. What I accumulated from 1965 to 2012 does not prevail anymore Makes me assess interest
  12. It was still a big one three days out. Let see if models can do Anything accurate outside of 72 hours.
  13. From now on I’m going to wait until 24 hours remaining to comment
  14. Thanks for snow pics snd I’m getting more westerly component to wind and temp down 1.3F since 3pm which may be darkness oncoming or maybe Magic!
  15. Winchester and Frederick have really revitalized in last 1-10 years.!
  16. When did this weather discussion board become a model adherence board or watch out?
  17. The models did another terrible job and within 4 days showed ranges of 1-11” . By yesterday most of them had a solution like what has happened. The most I ever went for was 3-6”. They very well may be the “best we have” but they didn’t get it until about 24 hours in advance so despite you being in denial, they do not warrant “respect” .
  18. Past prime sun time and I’ve dropped from 36.8 to 35.5. where is low centered? Maybe when it gets east of our longitude something better might happen.
  19. We have a forecasting technique which has undergone very little improvement in 20 years. Imagine if all other sciences had done same
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