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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. Thanks Does the coonskin cap get wet and stinky in all this rain?
  2. Colder air does appear likely next week so let’s get good things started . at this moment the pattern Has Not changed, everything is 7-10 days away, and the excess rain in Dec with temps 60-65 has merely become excessive rain and highs 50-55 so far in Jan. I hope that pattern changes, it must,
  3. Her synopsis does not match the conditions the bay produces with strong southerly wind direction for 6+ hours. I think this is a top 5 all time tide heightvat Annapolis. That is In Fact, exceptional
  4. Let’s be frank though-the pattern didn’t change and the delays continue. we can still get a biggie orccouple old fashioned 3-5 inches but a persist cold and snowy winter with snow remaining on ground is not in the cards but may yet assert itself upon 2-3 snowing occasions.
  5. What I generally do is add 2-3F for 850s and surface. It will make some rain but that 2-3 gets overcome when set up is solid
  6. Since 1970 years when DCA had 5”+ of rain in Dec, and where Jan is headed the same way , were 1977-78 and 1986-87. 77-78 were like 4.9+ for both months and 86-87 5” Dec and 7” Jan. Analog precedent rainfall pattern gives hope.
  7. That very long southerly fetch produces that but it’s rare
  8. Seems like many places had 3/4 consecutive hours of 40+ gusts topping out at 50
  9. For sure we are having ample low pressures and just gotta get cold that isn’t gone in 25 hours.
  10. Warmest I’ve ever seen real flakes was 47 on a March boil up snow shower day.
  11. Wow! I think the only one that is not on the map is a gale warning and that’s because it’s a storm warning
  12. Frequent gusts well over 30 im seeing these like 8” tall 4 feet long sheets of wind driven heavy rain fly by and in those “strips” I can t see through them Anyone else?
  13. Nasty ass day for sure. 60 and driving rain is rough but 45 and same is too cold and difficult
  14. This sounds funky old fashioned but it’s almost like the gears don’t mesh and grind the same way anymore. That in turn seems to make the 3-5 days not solid anymore and we are down to 1-3 for solid accuracy
  15. Models do a good job with cold outbreaks. This is rollover cold coming in from Midwest which is not as good for us and cold that moves over eastern Lakes and se and down upon us. Those below zero readings in OV will moderate by 20F by time it gets here but that’s still around 20 for 7am Get that pouring in se from eastern lakes and we have a low around 5F.
  16. The winds on the Bridge coming up that very long fetch from the south is killer. I’ve been in some 45mph stuff that was scary . When it’s like winter cold fronts and very windy from nw it’s somehow not like 50 miles of open water
  17. Ra**y it gotten too hard. I would not miss like I did last one pre 2012. And it’s happened too much in last 12 years. Reliable enso the NAO and AO are not the predictors they once were. Solid cold air now moves out in a heartbeat. Planetary changes. What I accumulated from 1965 to 2012 does not prevail anymore Makes me assess interest
  18. It was still a big one three days out. Let see if models can do Anything accurate outside of 72 hours.
  19. From now on I’m going to wait until 24 hours remaining to comment
  20. Thanks for snow pics snd I’m getting more westerly component to wind and temp down 1.3F since 3pm which may be darkness oncoming or maybe Magic!
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