WEATHER53

50.4 for my high which I think is the third coolest of the season

There has not been sufficient length of time. Many indexes are offered and even created but are dubious. We do know the negative NAO and AO remain big. Enso is not as strong a determinant as it was 15+ years ago. Pacific Ocean warmth cannot flood the nation and up into Canada. DC needs MillerAs and not phase job/transfer crap. We can get decent overrunning but the secondary rarely does anything for us . Mongolian high pressure sets us up well.

BWI: 22.5 DCA: 18.2 IAD:28, 7 RIC: 14.6 SBY: 14.9

47 when I parked the car in Baltimore and come out two hours later and its a different night. Something may be wicked with this front and my firepit event in big jeopardy

The fatal word of “delay”

Hopefully we are not beginning the delayed but…crap that have so crippled the models in winter forecasting

Didn’t BWI hit 17 for a high 3 consecutive days?

I got 89-90 also and 95-96. It’s interesting this season that a lot of occurred event analogs from this year are matching to positive outcome producing years in the past

What time and what portion of sky is best? Low in the horizon?

At least that little low that pops up for a bit is moving across extremecl northern Georgia which usually helps us

Andrews jumped 7.7 in an hour.

95 and 2010 have shown up in analogs . One blockbuster and one not so much. The cold looks pretty consistent but the snows are either huge or not so much with other comparison years

With blowing and drifting leaves

I’ve had a temp spike up to 38 with cloud cover

Radar has light over the area so this was a good prediction

How far down is it making it?

45 for a high at 2pm and sun could do no more 10 degrees colder than my previous low max i remember these Arctic fronts blowing thru at this time of year and staying windy all night. Good things usually follow for 45 or so days

Low of 29 which is coldest of season and winds keep up and homogenized DCA operational bias and kept them consistent with other nearby stations with a DCA low of 31

10:30 down to 35 and still eindy, 30.5 is my low for season and 40 coldest at midnight which is already eclipsed.

6:45on TPA update : 38.2F

Hey don’t you miss a tent with -15 air temps and windy???

Temperature Plunge Advisory in effect 48 for a high which is coldest high of the season by 8 degrees! Dropped to 42 by sunset and 40 at 5:30pm

Unreal pictures from back then with people well out into the bay and cars on the ice at mouth of south river into the bay. You could not tell where the land ended and the ice began it did moderate in Feb

I tied my low record at -5 in 1982

1976 late Dec thru Jan 1977 persistent unending cold for over a month. I think DCA hit 32 for a low for 30 consecutive days DCA was like 26F for the monthly average 1979 Very snowy and very cold 1982 Bsck to back cold Sundays . Many records set 1985-Inaguration day and week one of coldest ever. -2 air temp and 30 mph sustained coldest wind chill ever experienced personally by me 1989 late Nov thru Dec Incredibly cold record setting period. Nothing close to Dec 89 in temps since then 1994 -Jan largely considered the granddaddy of cold days and several brutal cold shots 2007 Feb . Very mild Dec and Jan then -7 Feb with incredible lake effect snow. Coldest daytime wind chill for me of -15 on Lake Ontario with 10F and 40mph winds. 5-7’ of accumulated snow everywhere and not drifts. Those were 10+’ There are some others since then so please add them or any others from the time period I used.