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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. That date is my last analog date so let’s buckle up. I like the angle of the cold
  2. Wasn’t that the huge El Niño in 98 and things do seem different since about then ?
  3. I grew up in the golden era of 1958-71 and to my memory we skated on the pond every winter except two . Sledded every one at some point Im pretty sure
  4. From 54 to 34 and dew does not rise
  5. I have wondered that if the Gulf Stream has indeed weakened, could that be less attractive now to potential low pressures to move along Atlantic coastline miller A style?
  6. Not really The super fine lines, thread the needle, yadda yadda is the formula for 100 presentation which radically change every 6 hours.
  7. Child I just stated it. I’m in full agreement that 0-11” forecast will be confirmed
  8. Thats the design. 0-11” forecasted and couple posters asked me well what’s my prediction and my prediction is the 0-11” model output will verify. That’s what its all about anyway
  9. I think DCA just finished 9th longest
  10. Somewhere between 0 to 11 is what the tools say
  11. I’ve seen you and handsome you are but model drawing quality????
  12. I missed the banning thing so can I get the skinny on how we list a great poster ?
  13. I know that many do enjoy the 10+ I don’t think it’s actual “tracking” because it’s mostly a mirage . So many times it’s just herky jerky every 6 hours and then zip and rarely a solid hit that the”agony of defeat” wiped away the thrills of victory many years ago
  14. He thinks he’s cute when doing it plus already an identified back stabber
  15. Thanks. I would say if things really can’t be forecasted with some normal scientific precision standards beyond X number of days then why do it? I know why but it brings out the protect the supply chest thumpers of all sorts. It’s because 268 hour snow monsters Sell. There is a myth that NOAA/NWS are “above all that” Do what can be done and take a broader view approach. That one set of graphs where lines are running everywhere is like reading the human genome chart Weather forecasting needs new blood with new ideas.
  16. This is a big admission that a number should heed. Even 5 days out waffles all over the place but the 10+ day stuff is absolute chicanery
  17. Going back to 11/27/25 when first cold shit hit thru yesterday, 60 of those 75 days have been at or below average . Three -20 departures DCA and many double digits. I could not find a colder 7 day in 1977 than this year. 1977 blew away about every other cold record
  18. This concept is solid but lack of participation exemplifies the model hugging and loving
  19. This is why it’s not science. It’s example giving guesswork with so many outcomes that one will surely hit and funding for status quo can continue. Now the chest puffers who never otherwise pist here will be whistled in soon but models are not weather forecasting tools. They mostly exist to perpetuate themselves. It’s fine that many many more than me enjoy that modality just as it’s fine that I think it’s bogus . And I’ve offered solid alternatives in the past, not just observation .
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