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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    Non-dismissable levels...
  2. Carvers Gap
    For sure! Need him as well!
  3. Carvers Gap
    @Reb, need to go get Stove.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Where is @Stovepipe?
  5. Carvers Gap
    That sure looks a lot like the 12z GEPS that Reb posted.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Been a long, long time since I have seen three ensembles like we have seen at 12z.
  7. Carvers Gap
    @John1122both the entirety of the 12z GFS and Euro look a lot how I pictured 1977 that you described.
  8. Carvers Gap
    Both the 12z Euro and GfS just bury the forum.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Light snow flurries in Kingsport this morning.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Snowing here in Bristol(flurries). Mountains are covered in white. Their parking lots have been plowed recently.
  11. Carvers Gap
    The 12z Euro is doing what the gfs did…one right after another.
  12. Carvers Gap
    Give me the 12z Canadian ensemble and let’s roll.
  13. Carvers Gap
    1.11 system trend scorecard 12z CMC was a tick south. GFS was a double tick south. UK headed to Cuba. Euro is north. Folks, I am riding with the RGEM…unless it leaves me.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Pretty sure the UKMET tried to throw us a bone with this past Ohio system with a more southern run(late in the game as well) and ended up being incorrect. It is the southeast side of guidance.
  15. Carvers Gap
    12z Euro is gonna be just fine. It is kind a blend of all them.
  16. Carvers Gap
    12z Euro looks slightly north of 6z and a little less robust at 57. We will call it Miller light.
  17. Carvers Gap
    12z GFS Kuchera is a glacier. I am not where I can post it, or I would for posterity.
  18. Carvers Gap
    AI trended SE or more like the CMC?
  19. Carvers Gap
    Through 54, the CMC looks like it might have more juice than 0z...if that is even possible. We'll see if it hold together.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Through 48, the CMC is pushing those isotherms just a hair north of where they were at 0z. That would likely mean it may scoot slightly north of 0z. We'll see.
  21. Carvers Gap
    12z CMC looks very similar to 0z so far through 30. Might jog a hair south over the eastern areas.
  22. Carvers Gap
    Kuchera....boom.
  23. Carvers Gap
    12z GFS "appears" to be set to also take a slightly more suppressed path just using isotherms early in the run as evidence.
  24. Carvers Gap
    12z NAM, ICON, and RGEM look good for E TN peeps. Two of those are at range, so take with some grains of salt.
  25. Carvers Gap
    WPC graphic(just runs through day 3...have to wait or E TN graphics as we are day 4):
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