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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    Not sure if we are in an El Nino ENSO state quite yet, but LR modeling doesn't appear to be through with sending repetitive troughs into the eastern half of the country. Honestly, I am starting to become a little concerned that I am going to be able to get my garden out on time. Soil temps are going to be SLOW to warm with this pattern. In addition, it is possible that frost may be a problem well into May. In ten days, I have to start hardening off my tomatoes with the idea to plant them come Derby weekend. Going to be a tight fit to get those in with the modeled cold upcoming.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Awesome!!!!
  3. Carvers Gap
    We are going to need some specialty beer cans out there in order to verify amounts....j/k. Nice shots!
  4. Carvers Gap
    We have had two snow showers(almost looked convective in nature....). Precip began as rain, then it hailed...and then it switched to snow. I don't think the transition was grapple. The hail was pea size. I am not sure I have every seen that sequence of precip.
  5. Carvers Gap
    I jus tread on social media that LeConte Lodge has 6.5" of snow and counting. Driving to JC tonight, I could see peaks(along the spine of the Apps) over 5,000' have snow on them. On the way back from JC as we were crossing Bays on I-26, snow was falling w/ a mix in the valley where rates where high.
  6. Carvers Gap
    And we repeat the pattern of extreme warmth followed by snow. Whew! We've been doing this pattern swing thing for over three months.
  7. Carvers Gap
    The wind is just howling again this afternoon. Have I moved to Chicago?!
  8. Carvers Gap
    @nrgjeff, you wake up yet? That was a late night for you Jayhawk's fans!
  9. Carvers Gap
    What a comeback!!!!
  10. Carvers Gap
    You all have done really well. It is either feast or famine here. March was very dry at TRI. I have found it is very tough to make-up for a dry month during spring. Just looking at the 12z GFS, this appears to be a year where the snows at higher elevations may not stop until late in the season. After several warm weeks, we may be getting ready to return to normal or below. My lettuce in my garden has been struggling due to warm temps during the afternoon and low ground moisture. Hoping that changes back to a more normal spring-like temp cycle during the next few weeks.
  11. Carvers Gap
    I bet he has gone radio silent for fear of a jinx!!! LOL. Anyway, @nrgjeff, good luck to your Jayhawks tonight. They will be who I am pulling for.
  12. Carvers Gap
    More wind this afternoon. Just unreal. People in WY complain that it never stops on the high prairies there.
  13. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, it has been steady. Windy here yet again today. Getting slightly worried about a summer which might turn dry, especially early.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Next time we see a La Nina show-up, it is probably worth discussing fire danger as well. There have been two fires in the same area this year, and then the Gatlinburg fire a few years back. I think all of those fires occurred during La Nina conditions. I think there are microclimates that tend to really dry out during those, specifically the Smokies and eastern side of the eastern TN River Valley. Add those high winds to a pattern where it is somewhat dry, and there are conditions for forest fires.
  15. Carvers Gap
    More strong winds this morning. I am not sure I can remember a time when the wind just blew for days on end at these levels.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Wind is absolutely howling IMBY this year, much more than yesterday. It is just a steady roar.
  17. Carvers Gap
    Looks like it damaged or destroyed ~100 homes/cabins. They are saying 5% containment, but likely feel the worst is behind them due to overnight rains. https://www.wbir.com/article/news/local/mayor-wears-valley-fire-about-5-percent-contained-consists-of-about-3700-acres/51-c7881c7b-a25d-47ca-b650-bc1600c9cc04
  18. Carvers Gap
    Anyone know how things are going on the west slope of the Smokies this AM? I am hoping they got plenty of rain.
  19. Carvers Gap
    I saw where stations around TRI are sending firefighters and equipment. You can see the plume on RadarScope.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Just saw a twitter report on WATE...that is a long, long fire line.
  21. Carvers Gap
    The fire in Wears Valley is now 1,000 acres with zero containment.
  22. Carvers Gap
    To go along with the severe threat, we have fires on the west slope of GSMNP in Wears Valley. They are being driven by high winds which are preceding the storms. Not good. I mentioned in the obs thread...we have had maybe 3 severe threats during the past 4-5 years which have included bad fires. This is the second fire in that area this year.
  23. Carvers Gap
    Looks like a mess. I saw on AshevilleWx that there was a link to one of the resort cams which shows the fire. Let's hope the high winds don't hit that fire before the rain does. During the Gatlinburg fire, the first line of rain died out and then the wind hit. An understatement on my part, we need the initial line to just pour down rain. For some reason we have been having combined fire and sever wx threads during the past 4-5 years, even during spring!
  24. Carvers Gap
    @Math/Metis this a mountain wave event tomorrow afternoon and night. It looks like the Smokies are looking at gusts up to 80mph.
  25. Carvers Gap
    I feel like the wind has ween howling for like two weeks. This is Wyoming everyday pretty much, but not here. It seems like nearly every afternoon we have been hitting gusts almost over 30mph. Sustained winds are around 15-20mph right now. Slight chance of snow showers/flurries tomorrow morning...
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