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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. 87storms
    Early analysis is that these aren’t severe here (I’ve seen a few similar storms the last couple summers), but it doesn’t matter…we need the rain and we’re getting it. Wouldn’t be surprised to see 1-1.5”+ in the gauges around here, when all is said and done.
  2. 87storms
    Absolutely pouring here with howling wind. Not much lightning so far but the ground is going to love this storm.
  3. 87storms
    About to get rocked here
  4. 87storms
    Beautiful out right now...sunny/warm/humid...hoping we can capitalize on some storms later.
  5. 87storms
    Mostly cloudy here, but satellite shows clearing to the west. Will check radar again in the early afternoon to see what's poppin'.
  6. 87storms
    We may have spoken the precip into existence, at least in the city of Frederick. There’s a cell moving through and, not surprisingly, it’s on a sw to ne trajectory instead of the standard w-e which requires making it over some of the gnarly rocks of the Blue Ridge. Interesting take on the ground/dews…certainly would help describe the atmospheric memory phenomenon.
  7. 87storms
    It’s both comical and expected at this point. There is something about this pattern that just isn’t working here. Maybe better lift tomorrow can overcome the mitigating factors that have been prevalent up to this point.
  8. 87storms
    Whole lotta nothin’ up here from the first round (mostly expected). The same general pattern of precip continues.
  9. 87storms
    We’ve had glorified clippers all summer. Getting a light rain shower moving through now. Gonna need several inches of rain to make a dent in the drought conditions up this way.
  10. 87storms
    I just go by feel at this point. It’s humid (check)…and there’s sun (check). Rest is tbd like almost every other event here lol. What I do know is this is absolutely my kind of weather aka sunshine/humidity and a chance of storms later. I have no interest in cool/dry/cloudy/windy in the summer (we get enough of that from November to April).
  11. 87storms
    Latest Nam twins would fit the overall summer in Frederick very well. Hopefully it’s wrong. Regardless, this is obviously a classic nowcasting event.
  12. 87storms
    I’m in for tomo night/Monday. At minimum, it’s trackable.
  13. 87storms
    Yep, got clipped here with the first round and might get clipped again with the 2nd, but the fun part was watching CG lightning in the distance while playing some halfcourt hoops. The last game ended right before dark and before the storm moved through, so it was pretty good timing.
  14. 87storms
    The Nam is showing a little line of storms sagging south later which is somewhat believable given the sunshine/humidity factor. More tbd.
  15. 87storms
    I don't really expect anything substantial in the precip department on the downsloping side of the fence until we can get rid of this nw flow aloft. Maybe having some low level moisture off the Atlantic the next couple days will improve chances (tbd), but the upper air pattern does look more favorable early next week (another tbd).
  16. 87storms
    Even this cooler/drier pattern in the mid-Atlantic seems off. Mother Nature isn’t playing games anymore. I hiked/biked the Watershed and Little Bennett the last couple days, and can confirm the creeks/streams are as low I’ve seen them. We need a legitimate storm system.
  17. 87storms
    Light rain has somehow managed to overcome the Great Wall of Catoctin.
  18. 87storms
    Eyeing some showers in western md. It would take a lot of work to reach the ground in the wannabe desert of Frederick, but I’ll try to stay positive.
  19. 87storms
    Can really see the push of drier air on water vapor imagery. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=08&length=12
  20. 87storms
    I did manage a light rain shower while shooting hoops early this evening (which actually felt kinda great), but otherwise probably only received about 0.25" the last 2 days with maybe a similar amount on Thursday (though I was in Bmore, so I can't confirm). This has not been a very exciting weather year in Frederick, that's for sure.
  21. 87storms
    The west wind has been cranking within the rain fortress of the city of Frederick. Definitely not gonna score a storm with this setup. LWX had mentioned the flow upstairs which seems to be more beneficial to those away from the effects of downsloping.
  22. 87storms
    I'm pretty much convinced mby is gonna need a major pattern reshuffle to get any significant rain. Time and again, the precip has been generally skipping over areas along the Catoctins and redevelops further east. Today is following that exact same trend.
  23. 87storms
    Sun is popping out here. Hopefully that helps fuel the next round.
  24. 87storms
    They really do. We usually just need a soupy airmass. From there, it doesn't take that much to wring out a storm or two.
  25. 87storms
    The humidity rn is swamp level. I was starting to miss it. Didn’t really get a grade A flush hit as the storms continue to follow a pattern of redeveloping further south and east due to the upper level flow (though today was a step in the right direction), but this is the type of airmass that can produce.
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