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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. I think most places can work out as long as you can continue your hobbies. Frederick’s walkable downtown, trails, and bball courts (which was my first concern moving here lol) is keeping me occupied for now. It’s getting pricey, though…or rather “is” pricey.
  2. Yea there's some nice geo locations along 70 (which I have to take en route to Columbia several days a week). I'm eyeing '26 to buy as well...took a detour last year while I was in between jobs, so now I have to work my way back to being able to afford it lol. Maybe for the better as I wasn't really sure where to even buy at the time.
  3. Did you move from Frederick? Thought you were living near Worman's (where I just braved the Wegman's crowd). I feel like this area is primed for an event. Hoping another January '22 is in the cards.
  4. With that North Atl system, a cutter might be off the table. Like others have said, that might be the storm to monitor to see how much confluence it throws at us.
  5. Looks like Newfoundland might be the spot to be next weekend. All the models have a stemwinder moving up the coast there.
  6. The argument could be made that this is the perfect spot to be in. You do not want to be in the bullseye at this range...it almost never works out. Late trends north are still a thing as is over-fitting of cold air/suppression (or so it seems).
  7. Yes, and so can a nw, downsloping breeze.
  8. Doesn’t even look like there was more than 2” of digital snow that entire run. Onto 0z…
  9. Yea, that system is entering the window of being a legit threat. Looks like gom will be at least partially open for business as well.
  10. Looks like a pretty cold sounding by Sunday evening on the gfs/euro. Overrunning is our typical way to get a snowfall as opposed to some wound up, fantasyland, perfect track coastal. Gonna take a couple more days to figure that one out.
  11. I’ve been at this hobby for too long to look too far beyond 10 days, though I have become a fan of teleconnections. There’s no denying the importance of pattern trends like pna, nao, etc. Imo those are more important than tracking individual shortwaves this far out, which is arguably irrational and I imagine the paid mets who participate here probably laugh at.
  12. We’re paper champs lol. But seriously…pattern is looking better, though we’re fully capable of cold/dry. Really need that southern stream to get involved, which it mostly looks like it is. Tbd
  13. Not the greatest SLP track...but it's cold leading in. Would be really cool to get a track underneath for a change, though we did score with some systems in 2015 this way. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pwat&runtime=2024122912&fh=192
  14. It's entering the west at a pretty high latitude, which is a thing sometimes, though looks like a snow to mix setup is possible with that first system.
  15. Only 10 days away, guys...we got this.
  16. The only problem with the hh gfs is that the hecs is happening in the middle of the week, which has proven to be nearly impossible.
  17. Yea, there’s no question about it, the teleconnections are primo. Saw a post online yesterday about the QBO (the concept) and it appears to be favorable as well. I haven’t dug into that topic much, but it seems like an important marker for cold air making it to the surface and/or at least for a better chance at the teleconnections you listed.
  18. Snowy periods are gonna continue to be fewer and farther between as long as the planet continues to warm. Unfortunately, only about 50% of the population understands this rudimentary concept.
  19. I heard we’ve been really good at long range threats the last couple of years, so I’m definitely in. I mean, it’s not like it’s gonna be in the 50s for a few days leading up to New Year’s.
  20. Got some rocky biking in over at the 'shed. Trail was mostly dry aside from standard winter, low sun angle slick spots.
  21. Might have something brewing late next week on the 12z GFS. Probably in a good place at this point.
  22. Damp/dreary stretch of weather on tap, it seems. Would be nice to see some sunshine today. It’s been elusive lately.
  23. None. It’s ok, I’ll use reverse psychology. It’s a secret snow weapon.
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