87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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I’m here after seeing the gfs.
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Quality sunset here...and quality weather in general. We had a couple of bake-off's at work this week, so I definitely needed my basketball sessions today.
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Looks like a nicer day on tap with winds turning more westerly and less clouds off the Lakes.
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Flurries flying here
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It’s gotta snow at least one of the Hanukkah days this year.
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Yea, but what’s important is that it’s also windy…this way outdoor activities are limited and we can spend more time tracking the 10 day ensembles.
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Just noticed it’s now gonna be in the 50s from Sunday to Wednesday. Sounds kind of awesome tbh. Would be cool to get snow chances returning in time for Chrismukkah, though.
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Kind of a mixed bag here. Definitely some flakes mixed in, though. My balcony faces the mountain chain…looks like snow/fog up there. Wasn’t expected any rain, though…that part is kind of ridiculous given how cold it’s been. Warm oceans and stuff, I guess.
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Bacon ridge is apparently a good mtb destination, too. Haven’t been there, but it’s been recommended before.
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We’ve had slower starts to winter, that’s for sure.
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Had my first snow chase to nearby Clarksburg in my Jeep (bought it in Nov ‘13) during that early Dec storm. Took some video and pretty sure that area is now an entire community near the outlets. Several inches fell. That whole winter was top shelf for this area.
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Quite a bit more prolonged snow cover too, even in Silver Spring where I grew up. I remember the 90s being better for the more nw suburbs…lots of snow to rain…and plenty of busts where there’d be a wsw and I’d wake up to wet pavement lol. I think a lot of those were systems that are just simply better modeled now (where the mountains might muck up precip further east). 2000s and beyond have seemed more boom or bust (in general) with less consistency.
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I thought the 80s was generally pretty great for snow...like maybe the best decade I've experienced. I was a kid, but still remember a lot of good snowstorms and it made me think snow was a real thing around here. Late 80s to early 90s was less good, though. https://www.weather.gov/media/lwx/climate/dcasnow.pdf
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Chilly day, but the sun made it more fun.
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0z Euro looks like cutter-ville. Same issue we've been dealing with the last few years.
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That td from cooper back to Allen was fun…and in the snow, no less.
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Few flakes flying around in Frederick. It’s cold outside.
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A moderation sounds kinda nice right now tbh lol
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I noticed this forum goes through a period of tracking rust early in the season where the general vibe is that it actually makes sense to track anything in that range. I'm not even sure we've ever tracked a storm successfully 10 days out. LWX couldn't even get the forecast for sun correct yesterday lol. I know it's different than tracking an actual storm system, but yea. However, I don't want anyone to get confused...I'm down for a snowstorm, but today is literally the first legitimately cold day we've had of the season. It's early.
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I think those high pressures along with radiational cooling can become more impactful and lead to colder air building up north as the season goes on if the pattern stays on the chilly side. I used to wonder how pressures relate to surface temps and it’s not straightforward.
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The mostly sunny forecast has been a bust so far, though I do see some breaks in the clouds to the west. Hoping to get at least an hour or two of sunshine here today. I did get a hoops sesh in earlier...chilly, but doable.
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...though seeing digital snow early in the season is an improvement over the last couple of years.
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And it's only 11 days out, too.
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Latest gfs is interesting, but man…it’s still a challenge getting storms to form south of our lat or even a chipper. I know NS dominant patterns are a La Niña theme, but it’s been excessive the last couple years. That’s the trend I’m most interested in tracking.
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Just assessed the outcome at the top of the Frederick Watershed (around 1500’ elevation, though there was accumulation midway up). They did very well…several inches.
