87storms
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Everything posted by 87storms
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Got 2 hrs of zzzz give or take. Just peeked out the window…the white ground has confirmed my suspicion that snow made it to FDK.
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Trammell Starks is legit.
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Yea that event will forever be epic (had several inches, maybe upwards of 5”), but was actually a prolific snow bust for dc and I think most locales to the northeast too. Feb 94…a low formed along a stalled out boundary in the Deep South. Huge moisture return, but too much of a good thing.
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Ball is life
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Got my final outdoor hoops shoot-around in (cold, but doable) before sunset before the courts close for the foreseeable future. Very light wind...definitely had a "calm before the storm" vibe.
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I've been mostly mia this afternoon, but just peaked at the HRRR and Nam...and I'm definitely a little more enthusiastic for mby than I was earlier. That's pretty healthy vort pass.
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Latest Nam is a work of art.
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That ended up being a great event where I lived. I remember hiking through Cabin John and it was just absolutely ripping outside when the ull moved through.
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I’ve been diligently tracking the Coriolis index the last few days.
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Only issue is that was 15 years ago and models have certainly improved since, but I hope you’re right.
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Models have shown their hand. Secs to the north, mecs to the south. There’s gonna be little pockets of surprises as always, but the precip jack has been generally closer to dc and south for several days now. It’s nowcast time.
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Surface obs: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfcloop/currobs.html
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It’s gonna snow and there’s nothing we can do about it. WV: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=08&length=12 Sat: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=undefined
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…I think the whiskey is called Tenjaku.
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Checking in from Umi Sushi in Ellicott. Just had some kind of Japanese whisky…which was actually pretty good. I’m ready for a snowstorm.
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I’m running behind schedule (apologies) and heading back out until the 0z, but I’m speaking imby. Dc is in great shape (beautiful spot for this storm), but us northern crew need some help from that secondary max that’s been thrown around as a possibility on “not enough” models so far.
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Seems like it's GFS/Nam vs the world right now. Really gonna need to see how much give that confluence has. The 0z suite will be very interesting.
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I’ve experienced practically no benefit in the snow dept since moving to Frederick a few years ago. It’s possible that dc has actually received more snow than mby because of that early Jan ‘22 storm.
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Monday is locked in as a SECS (fringe imby-dependent MECS). This is the more important thread now.
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Yea, it's gravitating towards a general 4-6" swath of snow across the region. The confluence to the north is just really thorny at this point. If anything, the models have overall ticked a bit south again since 0z (at least to my eyes) with the precip max DC and points south. Imby, I'm hoping for a secondary max near the M/D line with whatever added lift results from being close to the northeast gradient.
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Beautiful vort pass depicted on the nam. Just hope it’s right.
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Did the GFS just call Euro's bluff? Guess we'll find out soon.
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This storm is making us closer to the M/D line really work for this one.
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Interesting seeing how far behind the initial waa the ull is. Definitely could see how that would make this either one long event or a two parter.
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This map bothers me.
