87storms

Yep, might be a close call next weekend and beyond. The cold air seems available, but whether we have the blocking or not might determine whether we're dealing with cutters and cold chasing precip or a coastal low with a beautiful, entrenched high pressure to the north.

Reel it in, Will.

Definitely a different setup between Tuesday and next weekend. Seems like the majority of the next couple of waves are overrunning while next weekend the trough pushes east and a more formidable surface low develops in the south. Hopefully it doesn't turn into a cold chasing precip situation, but the ingredients seem there for a more impactful storm somewhere in the east. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025020912&fh=174 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pwat&runtime=2025020912&fh=162

This is the one.

Not a very good run at all for DC north unless you're cool with a minor event (I'm kind of over those, but understand that others are happy with whatever falls). Precip output is mediocre and there's only a weak surface low off the coast of North Carolina.

Now we’re talkin

Funny thing is I did see him in New Orleans twice during ams…a week before they got attacked by a DGZ.

In the dmv, it’s never real until it’s real real.

It’s a competitive sport. Don’t let anyone tell you otherwise.

We’re still really good at February

I feel like the gfs runs earlier than if used to. Anyway, it’s less worse than I thought it would be. Congrats to those currently behind me in the snowfall contest. I underestimated this winter.

Frederick does a really good job of averaging 2-4” every storm, so that’s my bar

Shows why we easily flipped to rain in cad-ville

Hit a bit of a river card up here with this event

Dang even my balcony railing is iced up and cars are clearly glazed now.

Fine, I’m back in…will reevaluate at 0z

I will say, there was ice on my windshield wiper when I got home from a trek to Bethesda. Was wondering why they sounded awful

Next

I don't think a front end snow from the 2nd wave is off the table, though...at least not for the northern tier.

It's kind of impressive how the models are showing just about every way we can miss with every wave next week. Too far south, too weak, too north.

I used to crush cava. Romaine and white rice and then some. Good beverages too

The Thursday threat is the one that looks like it has more potential...just not cold enough at this time. The Tuesday situation always seemed waffly...not a big fan of being on the northern edge of systems anymore...I've seen that play out often the last few years and it usually means scraps up here. We need a real storm, not these systems that weaken upon approach. We'll just need to see which of these waves becomes the dominant one.

Would have been awesome if the game ad on Tapatalk where a king is grunting while pushing something didnt show up while I’m in a demo meeting. Gfs was fun tho.

Just peeked outside…it’s indeed a dense fog now.

I can honestly I was not on WW. Eastern was my first experience on weather forums. It was an interesting place lol