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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. the coastal is developing in a good spot on the nam, but it's moving due north whereas the gfs is off the coast. assuming the off the coast idea is correct, i would think the nam adjusts further se.
  2. it's a large scale system which is probably why that's happening and it's the first legit trackable event. cad is often times underdone (per mets), so that might be something worth keeping an eye on. it's not an arctic airmass ala pd2 and it's mid-dec, so there'll be challenges, but i'm fine with snow to start and rolling the dice from there.
  3. the cold air damming looks pretty legit, even on 18z. i would think (saying this 4 days out) that starting as frozen is a pretty good bet. question is how far west that primary goes, amongst other things. looks juicier this run, too.
  4. Might have been too lol. Jan and feb were skating rinks around here
  5. That one might have been February. Storm formed along a stalled front and was supposed to snow here but ended being an absurd sleet storm. Nyc had like a foot of snow I think. That January was notorious for ice.
  6. Working on 1.5 hrs of downpours here. Glad I took my MTB in for service because trails are gonna be a mess after this.
  7. Yea I just heard a couple of rumbles
  8. Yea it’s tapped out here and still going. Certainly tropical-like in that regard.
  9. It’s been pouring here the last 30 mins or so. Wouldn’t be surprised to see some localized flash flood warnings if it continues.
  10. well, at least for the time being, the storm looks like it's highly interested in the beltway and southern moco.
  11. and it was great for 13z. it'll change again at 15z. i think we need to get rid of these debris clouds, though.
  12. clouds have returned, but satellite shows clearing to the southwest.
  13. There’s certainly gonna be enough fuel. Plenty of sunshine now
  14. Today had a sneaky breeze. For whatever reason I feel like that hinders potential at times. Not a single drop here. Turned out to be an outstanding weather day.
  15. losing a bit of that cape, though. i'm assuming it's gonna be hit or miss the next few hours.
  16. i've been getting fringed lol, but i have some faith for backbuilding since this is an actual system moving through
  17. stormy night for dc ahead. radar lighting up again
  18. Incredible lightning display on par with the derecho. It’s literally every 1-2 seconds
  19. I can see a substantial increase in lightning off to the East, almost like a supercell is forming tbh. I got fringed but that's ok. Yesterday was primo
  20. I’m seeing CG lightning to the east. Wouldn’t surprise me if the nats game catches a delay
  21. yea the skies opened up for this one. duration event, too.
  22. might have been the most intense storm through bethesda since the derecho. certainly up there with the rest of 'em. the rain gauges will be interesting...seeing ponding here and still raining.
  23. this has been a flagship storm for the season here. no hail here, but as close to severe as you can get, if not severe. i imagine dc will enjoy this one.
  24. torrential downpours and some seriously close lightning. decent gusts too.
  25. meaty storm moving through with a healthy amount of T&L
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