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87storms

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Everything posted by 87storms

  1. my takeaway from the 18z gfs is that i may need new tires for my jeep sooner than later.
  2. my brother in law isn't hyped yet (pungo area), so i had to tell him that the mid level stuff isn't set to move through until later. i think se virginia gets a few inches from this. it's been light so far and still coating the ground there.
  3. either i'm getting older (i am) and/or i need a full suspension bike for the frederick watershed stuff because my back is making noises i never thought possible. one of the benefits of winter is it forces me to be lazy...which i probably could use. in other news, i haven't been able to find any buffalo trace products recently, but i am enjoying jefferson's aged at sea. thought it would be gimmicky, but it's actually pretty good.
  4. there's not much at the surface with this one and the trough is positive. definitely interested in what va beach ends up with, though. could be impactful for that area...snow at the beach.
  5. tread carefully lol. it does look promising, though. we're generally very good at precip here...as long as there's cold, it'll snow at some point.
  6. tuesday still doesn't look impossible on the gfs and that east coast stemwinder next weekend is intriguing. i'm turning my attention now towards mecs's.
  7. i can't tell if the cold air got delayed (probably at least part of the problem) or the precip was too quick to move through/low formed further south. either way, timing was definitely off for the nw crew. looks like eastern portions were at least able to snag some light stuff at the end.
  8. yea, though even the short-range high res models called for more. i'm not even sure a single flake fell in frederick and some of those models were calling for a couple of inches, though this is also why it's futile to just look at snow maps. i had some doubts yesterday when i looked at the surface obs and saw the wind shift was still out in the midwest...the cold air just got delayed in an anti-cad kind of way.
  9. Fog rolling off the mountains right now. Looks and feels like rain. Euro is still the king?
  10. temps generally in the low 40s in my neighborhood/surrounding.
  11. better temps towards m/d, better precip towards 95. pick your poison.
  12. where my sister lives...minutes from sandbridge. my brother in law is from york, pa and doesn't talk much about snow, but he gets hyped once the storm arrives lol.
  13. the canadian looked close to a mid-atlantic phase with that one.
  14. this system has pacific origins. looks like that arctic front is gonna ring out any leftover moisture from it. simple, but effective system.
  15. you mean we're not gonna get a storm with a 1030 isobar over us?
  16. It works. Just gotta accept rain to start. Temps do look like they’ll crash though.
  17. That too but these Asics excite’s I have are great on dry but slicker than ice on ice.
  18. I need to start wearing shoes with better traction on wet pavement/ice. I’m just gonna leave it at that.
  19. yea, i really think it's the follow up wave later in the weekend to pay attention to. i haven't looked at the euro, but on the gfs/etc the ns sw is out of ahead of that ss energy with the high pressure being too suppressive, unlike the last system where the ss energy got wrapped up early on and was like a bowling ball.
  20. the southern jet definitely lifts further north on 6z gfs compared to 18z. almost looks like this could morph into a multi wave type of deal for the weekend instead of one big storm.
  21. we're in the "carrying a bike up a rocky hill" portion of the hobby.
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