87storms

Hagerstown is dominating so far. I did just drive through gambrill out of curiosity and saw some flakes near the top (1500’) before the band shifted further nw. Will check back in a few hrs. Expecting the bands to close in by then.

I think it’ll just take some time to rev up for <500 ft elevation (estimating). It’s still a bit dry out there.

Light echoes are on my doorstep but nothing yet.

that one is still top 3 for me. i might have to put 2016 above it because it was pure snow start to finish, but those are top 2. 3rd might be feb '10 and 4th pd2. too young for '83, but i'm sure that would make top 5.

i'm gonna approve that. climo friendly, but everyone gets involved.

i may be wrong then. i thought this was a late evening arrival, though i know the waa is surging ahead to the west, so maybe that's the case for hagerstown/higher elevations.

lol it's all good

39/16 in frederick. no temp issues with this one esp since it's a midnight arrival. just gotta hope the mountains aren't too thirsty.

i tried to bridge the gap by talking about sports.

agreed. TB isn't a great lateral player, but he can stick the 3. system's on track: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=1

probably better to talk about weather than the wizards, though. i had to cut back on that a few years ago. there's only so many times i can have an argument about busted draft picks and the need to have a stretch, playmaking 4/5 in the lineup.

i'm glad i replaced the spark plugs on my jeep.

it's nowcast time... https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=12&dim=1 ...until the 12z globals.

i like my spot with this system. the northwest trend makes perfect sense given the entire setup and how much further north the upper level energy is this time around compared to monday. the only things i'd be concerned about for the entire forum east of the apps is that downsloping is a thing with weaker systems (though that doesn't seem to be the case with this one). with that said, anyone who grew up in the 80s/90s in this area knows exactly what i'm talking about (though obviously models have improved in that regard).

that would still be 30x more than what i've received all season. i'm all in on an old school snow advisory.

yea, that doesn't make sense and i agree wholeheartedly with others that we should be tracking the precip maps vs these snow maps that will likely be wrong since this is clearly going to be dependent on where any/if moderate bands develop (which could also be elevation dependent especially if the surface low tracks too far south/east).

I’m ok with this run lol

Lwx is pretty bullish in their afternoon disco. The maps make sense too given that the upper level energy is further north than Monday. Just need to avoid a late transfer. I’m assuming the models might jump around a bit with the max precip until that’s figured out.

gfs was drier/further south, but not a shutout. trend needs to stop, though. 0z will be huge.

i'd rather sign off on what the icon just showed. precip might have been a little lighter up here actually, but looks like a closer track.

where do i sign?

it literally hasn't snowed a dusting up here so far this winter, so i'm perfectly ok with that solution. it didn't look impossibly bad with the lead precip shield still pretty far north.

the teleconnections do seem to matter on a large scale here given the fact that we're usually a boom/bust snow town, but i think a southern slider is more at play when there isn't much northern stream involvement, or just plain further north. hopefully that's not the case this time around. as they say...12z euro will be telling.

agreed. mostly just want to avoid a skunk at this point. that was pretty annoying...though the models hinted at that on sunday, so it was at least somewhat expected.

i would obviously want a better surface low reflection/track, but it does seem like this one will be harder to miss for the areas closer to the m/d line (upper level vort max is further north than the last system). with that said, dc/bmore is looking like they're sitting pretty again so far.