87storms

Just saw lightning and heard thunder. That’s a win.

this winter has been rare. no real debate needed there. however, it's not the first time, nor will it be the last. i certainly remember 97/98 being a joke. imo, this winter fits the vibe of the last 2 years which has been anomalous in general with the epic 2018 record-breaking rains and the 60+ 90 degree days this summer (though i don't recall too many extremely hot days except for one which i chose to bike in...that was brutal and not my best decision). long story short, i'd wait until this time next year to get too carried away with analysis paralysis.

bit of a mini, rainer bust in progress.

i think the terps play better when they step on the gas. the court shrinks in the playoffs (ie, march madness), so they need to get to the hoop more and not play so much hot potato. they've got a chance to make a run because of their defense, but they can't play passive against the blue chip squads.

agreed. there really hasn't been much digital snow at all. some of the downplaying of the models are due to storms 7+ days out. unless we're talking a large scale pattern change and/or large storm, it's going to be difficult for models to hone in on that type of chaos at that range. it's impressive enough that we can model storms 3-5 days out with pretty good accuracy already, certainly more accurate than analyzing the sky and drawing medium range forecasts...good luck with that lol.

I experienced similar in killington back in 94, when it was also cold here. Absolutely absurd cold on the mountaintop...way into the negatives and an even more obscene wind chill. Ironically, warmed up the next day and snowed. I definitely had some early frostbite symptoms on my hands but smartly only skied a couple runs.

there's just nothing keeping the cold air locked in...it seems to either get run out of town or trails a rainer. need a perfectly timed setup with cold being so transient.

the trough couldn't be more positive. where's the se ridge when we need it. maybe it nudges a little north towards gametime, but it'll need to nudge quite a bit.

true, and i know he wanted revenge from the lavine contest, which was also pretty epic (though that might have been more 50/50). even though he may not have completely cleared Fall, he showed ridiculous bunnies. i don't see how any judge could score that a 9. not only does it take guts to attempt that, but he got it on the first try.

in other news...aaron gordon should have won the dunk contest. that said, i think he takes the contest a bit too seriously. i could tell by his mannerisms and how he was constantly trying to sell the crowd reaction and judges after just about every dunk. still should have won, though...dude jumped over a 7'5" center. i mean, come on lol.

i don't understand the complaints towards long range model analysis. at the very least, even if a model run is bogus (missing data, etc.), it still offers up the opportunity to practice pattern analysis. not saying that i know much because i don't (4400 posts of mostly play by play and banter), but it's part of the hobby to analyze the different models and teleconnections, and i appreciate those that take a few minutes out of the day to provide their 2 cents on the pattern.

factual outcomes takes zero skill. it's a weather board. forecasts are made. forecasts fail. you, like everyone else, relies on computer models to an extent, and your theory that models haven't improved was already debunked by meteorologists who do this for a living.

new england makes sense. for what you lack in warmer weather, you make up for it with legit winters (usually). not sure if i'd like the extended cold season, though. seems like it can be chilly/gray through april there whereas by mid march i'm usually ready for spring.

we're not the upper midwest or new england. anyone who loves the snow that much is in the wrong spot, period. i don't like the cold enough to sacrifice milder weather for snow. colorado is a near sweet spot, but i love true seasons and lush green. re 17/18 winter...it was a bit subpar around the city imo. we had a storm in march that padded what would have otherwise been lame results. it wouldn't surprise me one iota if northern md faired better. i think what we need is a solid wall to wall winter like 13-15. those were premier winters...top shelf for this area. doesn't have to snow all the way through, but it's been a minute since winter felt like winter for 3 solid months. edit: meant to say 17/18

just saw another post by lwx today that says since 1931/32, every single winter has had colder temperatures. apparently, dc has failed to drop below 22 degrees. i don't have a weather station, but i'm pretty sure we had 1 or 2 nights that were bitter cold. of course, gotta take into account uhi and where they're actually observing. anyhow, that's that. it's been a winter of not being cold enough when we need it to be cold enough.

the argument could be made that we were simply due for a dud. i know...gambler's fallacy, yada yada, but in meterology with cycles/oscillations/etc. being due might have some merit. i think what adds insult to injury for this winter is that aside from that january event last year (which was a great storm imo), we've been on a slide since jan '16. that's a long stretch, so hopefully the pattern shifts. lwx made a fb post in regards to the ++++++++++++AO being the main culprit for this winter's dud. others have said similar obviously, but it was the first time i'd seen lwx make a post about it.

this weather is definitely bringing out the flies, at least where i live. just had to spray down the window seals. mosquitoes were in beast mode 2 summers ago. not as bad last year, but still legit. hopefully that's not going to be the case this year. i also feel like my allergies are kicking up today lol. the argument could be made that we haven't had a winter this year...just a prolonged, late Fall.

i felt like that after playing hoops 2 weeks ago. i've biked some of those trails before. my aunt and uncle live in that area...it's a hidden world back there. the rain is definitely mucking things up for now which sucks because i'm trying to get back into shape as well...been on retirement since november lol i agree with your general theory...if it ain't gonna snow, you gotta find other ways to make things happen.

yea, this winter is a dud. still some time for a snowfall, but it's not a good look when we've had rainer after rainer through our prime climo. what can ya do.

yep, and i bet the rockets are scouting him with a fine toothed comb lol. they might be in a reasonable position to draft him. the offense is a direct correlation to the touch fouls called. it's opened up the game...too much imo. in other news, that unc/duke game was wild.

just saw a mock draft that has jalen in the 20s. i think he can find his way in as a late lottery pick, but it'll be system dependent. i think his near term potential is on a team looking for a steady backup big.

jalen smith is legit, from what i've seen. do i think he'll be a star in the nba? that's up for debate. i think he's going to be more successful in small ball lineups or alongside someone like gobert/davis/drummond/embiid. he's not a premier, rock handling big man with a step back game, but i think he has a chance to get some real minutes at the next level, possibly as a starter in the right system. i haven't watched a lot of terps games this year. to me, they play a bit too conservative at times, turgeon style, but they've got an all around squad. they have a chance to make a tourney run as long as they don't dig too much of a hole because they don't have the high powered offense that some of those gary teams had.

i think it's gonna be entirely up to the northern stream and how much/how fast the cold infiltrates this area, if at all. the boundary seems pretty close, so this could fluctuate a bit over the next couple days.

lol, i always get that saying mixed up as well. going into spring without a snowstorm is a bit lame, but what can ya do. i agree that any prolonged wintry stretch is, well, a stretch, but we've had these quick cold shots so i still think a storm is possible...maybe a couple. just won't end up being a traditional, 1980s winter.

While passing time...radar loop of the great feb ‘10...