87storms

Maybe the gfs can pull a clippers comeback.

it's only 300 miles out to sea. there's still time.

to some extent this reminds me of an atlantic hurricane heading towards the obx and getting shunted out to sea by a frontal passage. i know it's not the same, but it just has that appearance...to me at least. re lwx disco...too many vorts. that's pretty clear on the guidance for a while. we do better on this side of the mountains when there's a stronger vort sliding underneath. i guess that sort of happens with this system. i'm not knowledgeable to understand the interaction mentioned by the out to sea storm and the approaching frontal boundary, but i recall that happening before. i'm game for 1-2". might even need to break the mtb out if that happens...haven't biked on powder yet, but it kinda sounds fun.

the general thesis of today is that we need a forum-wide snowstorm.

almost looks like this system is morphing into an arctic frontal passage lol.

i hope you're right with the fgen because the coastal low is about 200+ miles east of OC right now. if it's gonna trend west, it needs to start asap.

the coastal is a wrap in frederick...i'm pretty much done with that one. it's just wishcasting at this point. hopefully we can get 1-2" of powder from the upper level energy.

if this system doesn't work out, the pattern does look active to start february.

Yea you got me before I deleted my post lol. I thought about it and was like even the coastal areas are on the edge right now. General thoughts still stand tho.

Yea the overall setup really hasn’t changed much over the last few days. Trough is too far east. I’m holding out hope for a sharper/further west northern stream vort today but it’s looking less likely.

Beal got caught with his hand in the cookie jar.

The ns energy is just too shredded. Need a better vort, otherwise it’s just taking a beeline right out to sea. Hopefully the euro holds bc it’s now 3 days away.

Well at least it’ll be good surfing weather.

I was thinking the intellivision (maybe even burgertime).

There’s still a trend, but more so in regards to initialization of one run (actual) compared to where the previous run expected those initialized data points to be. It’s a matter of semantics, but I’m not sure what other word you can use other than trend.

Re scotch, I do like glenfiddich products…maybe there’s just less peat. GF14 was a good one. Also enjoyed green spot Irish whisky…tried that one a few months ago.

Noted, thx!

I still can’t get past the peat/smoke in scotch, but it is smooth. I may have to go on an eagle rare search soon, though. That was recommended to me here and still in my rotation.

My basketball analogy isn’t gaining a lot of traction so far lol. I can’t be the only hoops junkie here.

I forgot about this thread.

It’s a tie at the end of the 3rd quarter and a win gets us into the playoffs. Each run for the next day is 3 mins each. The game plan is to win at least 3 of those, or we go home. Or something like that.

i feel like i've been working 2 jobs this week. i'm ready for some model consensus.

damn near gets us in the comma head this run.

the question i have is how far west can the coastal reasonably come? will the storm have a chance to go north more than advertised before being shunted to the east? there is a southern energy component to this which is why we're not getting skunked on the models compared to other moisture starved clipper to miller b screwjobs. at this point, really won't take much of a westward shift, but how much is really possible given the suppressive highs to the northwest?

all i know is that i hope the pbp doesn't involve the word "east".