cbmclean
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Everything posted by cbmclean
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Well went to bed last night feeling good. Euro had at least partially caved to the GFS on the TPV, hints of serious cold right before Xmas etc. Woke up and the first post was PSU saying "So much for the torch". Then it all went downhill.
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I am curious why large ares of the west are "missing" shown in white. Is it because they are at high elevation, and the 850 HP level is at or below the surface?
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That cold snap was very memorable for me. Hit 0 at my house for the first time. Ponds frozen over for the only time in my memory. Heck there was fringe ice forming at the outer banks. For me, that was worth five 'big" (for NC) snows.
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That well-timed lobe was much celebrated down in NC. I do not expect that luck to be repeated. I am just trying to avoid the Torchmass threat.
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I can sympathize. I am a Dolphins fan, so I have been wandering in the wilderness for whats seems like forever. I still care though.
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I am curious, are there any Redskins fans left in the MA, or has decades of frustration run them all off?
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I think there was a good h5 last January right after New Years that was a rainer due to the MJO warm phases Grand Tour that was then in process. I remember Bob sickened by it.
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I didn't realize the world of weather enthusiast forums was so cutthroat.
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I misread that as "into a cold train" and was wondering why that was annoying.
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For me personally, I like cold almost as much, if not more sometimes than snow. I'd prefer to have both, but if forced to choose I think I would rather have a dusting or two among a period of sustained cold than a "big one" that all melts the next way. Keep in mind that since I live in eastern NC, a "big one" is 4 - 6 inches lol. It is of course, all personal preference.
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Thanks Yoda (by the way, I was really impressed by the way you lifted that X-wing out of the swamp back on Dagobah).
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Well the Banter thread is devoted to side chatter, but I just can't figure out how to quote a post from the main thread in the Banter thread.
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Sometimes someone posts something in the main thread that I want to joke about but obviously do not want to clutter it up. Isn't there a way to respond to a post from one thread but in a different thread?
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What is the definition of "skill" in this technical context?
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Hey, what's wrong with that thought? Seriously though I'm not going to be a rude guest in another forum and try to advocate for my backyard. I dream of a big one where we all get slammed. I think it happened back in the great 1899 cold outbreak. That should score high on Maestrobjwa's WDI.
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I have seen several posts recently showing damning evidence of notable cold bias for the east on NCEP products (can't remember if it was GFS or GEFS, or maybe both). At this point, do you see any reason not to conclude that the GFS op if on on its own little fantasy tangent and can be safely discounted?
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Yes, it is actually very helpful. I really appreciate your taking the time to pass along this knowledge. It will be a shame if our nice west-based block is wasted by blocking in Pacific poop.
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Well that is what confuses me. The chart mentioned that it is defined at 500 hp as opposed to the older 1000 HP.hp. So are you just saying that the index, at whatever level it is taken, only gives a very rudimentary approximation of the state of blocking?
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Sorry for the ignorance on my part, but the blocking that you are referring to, I am not seeing anything showing up on the NAO forecast, and I was under the impression that it was the teleconnection most reflective of the kind of blocking we (eastern CONUS) like to see. I did note a predicted nice little negative event on the AO, but I thoght taht teh AO reflected the strength (or lack thereof) of the polar jet stream. Is it also conencted to "blocking"?
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CPC NAO outlooks range from "hmm" to "ugh" with a mean of "meh".
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It may be unscientific, but if the Pac puke is inevitable, I kind of feel like I just want it to go ahead and get it over with so we can move on. The bad thing is, there is no guarantee that we move on.
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As a SE forum guy, I will gladly take cold rain next week it opens the door to the TPV Christmas week.
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Zero chance they are the same people. #politics Could just be a clever ploy to throw us all off.
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Hmm, has anyone ever seen PSU and Bob together at the same place at the same time?
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Is there an NCEP analog to the HRDPS?
