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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. And the cold/dry would be even worse this time with direct Arctic air coming down and the lakes finally freezing up. Still hopeful one of these waves can produce a moderate event but fully aware this can be yet another fail and trend back to suppressed crap.
  2. Obviously once the lakes are frozen over they won’t be modifying any of the air heading our way anymore. The cold coming next week should be quite severe since the flow of air finally looks to be Arctic origin and over frozen/snowy ground.
  3. Say it ain’t so. That never happens, never ever ever. Maybe we can get Charleston to double our snow total this time while we get our consolation dusting gone in an hour!
  4. Turning into a nice event for SNE of course. Any which way our area can be screwed over is happening in spades this winter.
  5. Hopefully it’s a normal Nina torch February. I’m totally serious. If cold means more of this suppressed garbage and windy freezing dry, I’m happy with it gone. Put it out of its misery and CA needs the rain.
  6. Good. Put us and this winter out of its misery.
  7. The cutter will come right on time though.
  8. Dusting here, maybe 0.1-0.2”. Pretty much gone other than shaded areas.
  9. And to think your avatar is what it could've been. Sad fall from stardom.
  10. If there’s more than a coating consider that a win.
  11. Nice Norlun type event on this run that would pop up for NE of us/Boston while of course south of us has gotten hit/getting hit. Nice kick in the teeth that would be.
  12. Nature has a twisted sense of humor.
  13. Yep. At least in the last 2 failed winters it was bearable to be outside.
  14. There were signs in the ensembles that other models might catch on but none really jumped in, then the streams were clearly progged not to cooperate with the oncoming kicker and fast flow. Hopefully the northern stream trough is potent enough to give some of us up to an inch. Another fail.
  15. Been dead for days, arguably was never alive. GFS valiantly attempted CPR but patient long ago coded.
  16. Would be. Unfortunately that hope’s running on fumes too.
  17. Eventually something has to happen to get us out of this rut though. Any winter that ended favorably like 13-14 had ways to make significant snow events here happen. So far we’ve totally struck out other than the lucky inverted trough setup before Christmas, and this winter has that flavor of just striking out when we’re cold enough but it’s an immediate rainy cutter when the SE ridge returns. Sure that can change but it’s clear this pattern now where it’s cold enough won’t do it. Gradient patterns where it’s cold just to our N give us a chance, but could easily just be SWFEs that are just too warm here but are cold enough for I-90 to cash in. Bottom line is I’m not optimistic until we get a threat within 72 hours that any number of turds in the punchbowl won’t happen again and ruin it for us.
  18. Could be another nice hit for those who got hit from the last one. Maybe not DC so much but east of there in DE.
  19. If this more amped trend is right, I can see there being a chance at 2-3”. Ratios should be pretty favorable, no warm layers to mess up the snow growth.
  20. Even whatever jump it made isn’t near enough and it’s the NAM.
  21. I guess there’s still a chance at 1-2” from the northern stream wave as it comes through, it’s pretty vigorous. But whatever coastal system should still be way SE.
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