
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sun starting to come out in Long Beach.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Radar estimates 4.5" for my immediate backyard. And still raining heavily there.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The two areas socked so far look to be northern Nassau and NW Suffolk. Radar estimates around 5” between both events. My backyard will be a mud pit when I get back later.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Getting windy in Long Beach now as this last rain band leaves.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like the Nassau/Suffolk border getting crushed just like yesterday evening. Radar estimates there well over 3” to 4” between both days.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’m in Long Beach for the same reason. So far moderate to heavy rain here but not much wind.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looking like the heavy rain axis will be a bit east of predictions this morning. Sorry @psv88 Around the city and points east look to have the best shot per radar and track. Nothing excessive but could definitely have 3-4" in some spots.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
A few sprinkles here so far.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This won’t be anywhere near as bad wind wise as Isaias. Elsa is a weak tropical storm and won’t spend anymore time over water before getting here. Even though it might get an assist from an incoming trough it won’t make it that much worse in terms of wind. The story here is the rain and even that shouldn’t be extreme. Could be a swath of 3-5” probably west of us. We more likely get 1-3” in banding.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Since Jan 1 many of us still have a precip deficit that Elsa should bring enough to take out.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Odds are it somehow ends up west and jackpots NJ like always seems to happen but hopefully it can nudge east a bit and hit everyone. Wind wise I don’t expect much.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not surprising. Elsa won’t be off the coast at all pretty much before getting here. This is much more a rain threat.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Ehh. Whatever rain we can get this time of year is a win though.- 587 replies
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Just about the lousiest conditions you could think of for 7/4 weekend. Thankfully tomorrow should be nicer.
- 1,188 replies
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Here it’s been a rumble of thunder but otherwise nothing. Actually the sun broke out once or twice. -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The far north shore east of Glen Cove to Asharoken getting deluged too. Radar estimating 5”+ now. Would be huge impact if it was 5 miles south where it’s much more populated. -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wow at that cell near Corona. Radar estimating 4" now. -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Elevated convection and forcing from the frontal boundary. -
If it moves into Shredd-aniola it might barely come out as a tropical system. Lots of booby traps for this one to cross through.
- 1,188 replies
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice soaking moderate rain, definitely what the lawns need. -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Probably a significant straight line wind event in NJ. Some nice bow echos and good velocities. It missed out on NYC and LI where things stabilized after the rain earlier but still some heavy rain especially along the south shore. Moderate rain here now. -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just had a heavy downpour. -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like the slight risk was shifted north to include NYC. Some clearing outside will allow destabilization. Tons of humidity still to be tapped. -
Have moderate rain and a rumble of thunder but as usual the storm’s dying out as it goes east.
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Yes that was outflow. Moderate rain here now with the N Shore storm.