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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Light rain now and a moderate thundershower as it came in. Some places nearby got luckier but generally a west of NYC event as the vast majority in the summer are.
  2. jm1220
    I would keep the flash flood watch to the western half of the city and west, although I guess to be safe they included Nassau County. Models seem to be killing anything east of the city right away in the seabreeze. Hopefully we can get a reprieve from the humidity ASAP, that's what I'm hoping for. I'll be surprised if anything more than a moderate shower makes it out past here.
  3. jm1220
    Up to 91 here. Today just seems to be one of the most hideous days yet.
  4. jm1220
    In the South as shown it’s actually been a cool summer so far. In TX temps are usually breaking 100 by now but for the most part it’s been damp and temps in the low 90s. The heat’s all been north and west.
  5. jm1220
    With the wet pattern we had, as expected dewpoints are creeping up faster than temps. Hideous outside, currently 89/75. Yuck.
  6. jm1220
    Yeah, wish there was a way to ship all this water to where it's needed. Like I thought my backyard was a muddy pit when I got back this afternoon from Long Beach. Psv88 said it best when he mentioned swarms of mosquitoes in a few weeks. Apparently there was hail in Long Beach from a storm yesterday. That would've been insane since it almost never happens on the south shore. I can think of maybe one time I ever saw hail there and it was pea size.
  7. jm1220
    Thanks! Seems like these heat patterns have been getting broken down in the modeling too soon. Highs may not get that excessive because of the wet ground but humidity could make up for it. Definitely looks like the same nasty humidity/heat pattern we've been having. The south shore might not be a bad place to be since Elsa likely chopped up the waters enough to cool them down and make the onshore flow a little better for a while. On the days we're on the periphery of the ridge would be the best for firing up storms? One thing almost for sure, if this pattern keeps up Elsa won't be the last tropical system coming through here this summer.
  8. jm1220
    Very difficult to keep any long term dry pattern going here. We always snap right back to wet after any dry stretch. Lots of ways for tropical systems, Gulf moisture, Atlantic moisture, instability etc to fire things up. Many summers do have a south shore dry season where storms fire up all the time inland but die out before reaching the coast. Not this year obviously.
  9. jm1220
    Near Jericho Turnpike and Rt 110. Maybe I spoke too soon but who knows. We're waterlogged here either way with well over 4" the last 2 days.
  10. jm1220
    Just heard a rumble of thunder but looks like the storms will go just north of me probably right over the Sound shoreline.
  11. jm1220
    Wow, 4.53" in Greenlawn (a few miles NE of me) just today from Elsa? There was also 1-2" at least from the storms yesterday. Lawns there will definitely be green for some time
  12. jm1220
    N Nassau where over 5” fell might get these. Looks like some training echos too.
  13. jm1220
    Yep. Manhattan incoming after over 4” last 2 days.
  14. jm1220
    Might want to get it updated again tomorrow. Insane that another cluster of storms is headed toward NYC and parts of the city are getting hit again. Months like Aug 2011 are on another level altogether (so far, month is young) but this is getting crazy.
  15. jm1220
    Rt 110 in Melville on Channel 7 now for flooding. Looks like flooded businesses and stuck cars. NW Suffolk and N Nassau got nailed.
  16. jm1220
    Sun starting to come out in Long Beach.
  17. jm1220
    Radar estimates 4.5" for my immediate backyard. And still raining heavily there.
  18. jm1220
    The two areas socked so far look to be northern Nassau and NW Suffolk. Radar estimates around 5” between both events. My backyard will be a mud pit when I get back later.
  19. jm1220
    Getting windy in Long Beach now as this last rain band leaves.
  20. jm1220
    Looks like the Nassau/Suffolk border getting crushed just like yesterday evening. Radar estimates there well over 3” to 4” between both days.
  21. jm1220
    I’m in Long Beach for the same reason. So far moderate to heavy rain here but not much wind.
  22. jm1220
    Looking like the heavy rain axis will be a bit east of predictions this morning. Sorry @psv88 Around the city and points east look to have the best shot per radar and track. Nothing excessive but could definitely have 3-4" in some spots.
  23. jm1220
    A few sprinkles here so far.
  24. jm1220
    This won’t be anywhere near as bad wind wise as Isaias. Elsa is a weak tropical storm and won’t spend anymore time over water before getting here. Even though it might get an assist from an incoming trough it won’t make it that much worse in terms of wind. The story here is the rain and even that shouldn’t be extreme. Could be a swath of 3-5” probably west of us. We more likely get 1-3” in banding.
  25. jm1220
    Since Jan 1 many of us still have a precip deficit that Elsa should bring enough to take out.
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