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AfewUniversesBelowNormal

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Everything posted by AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  1. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Maybe hurricane season will be a little more active I went with 14-8/9-3
  2. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Anyway, same theme
  3. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    huh?
  4. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Nice subsurface trend uniform cold West warm central moving east. Should be el Nino through jan-feb weak or moderate.
  5. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Real strong +PNA popping up now.
  6. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It also has the look of a late-1970s style El Nino for the Fall.
  7. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Ok, Thanks. I think El Nino will keep out to ocean activity down, but the Atlantic triple pattern could record some good hits. June 1-0-0 July 2-1-0 August 3-3-1 September 4-3-2 October 2-2-0 November 1-0-0 Total 14-9-3
  8. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    June 1 July 2 August 3 September 4 October 2 November 1
  9. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Yeah.. STJ. rain lol
  10. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    86 at 11:40, feels like 92.
  11. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    -AO showing up. Could be a big season for SE, US and Gulf hits.
  12. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Getting hot, will probably be some nice storms.
  13. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Sky is bright blue, clear. Yesterday the storms moved in as a "high energy front". I would say the same thing happens today.
  14. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Somewhat of a subsurface recovery, we are still in El Nino. I wouldn't be surprised for Nino 3.4 to warm in the next few weeks.
  15. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The North Pacific looks very El Ninoish for the next 15 days. Subsurface is cooling. -OLR for the first time in a long time near 180W is going to keep us away from a +north Pacific Hadley cell though, despite neutral/negative ENSO.
  16. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Subsurface is Weak La Nina, but the +PNA is stringent. Through the next 15 days, wonder why the disconnect.
  17. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Cold May begats thunderstorm-less Summer
  18. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It looks like a -AO period really takes hold in the medium and long range.
  19. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Here we go again [(Major govt interference)]
  20. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    As expected, we're getting this near-surface subsurface warming
  21. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Pretty strong El Nino pattern coming up I think we are still going into El Nino
  22. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Kind of disappointing.. you could tell earlier today with the way the clouds were low and throughout that it wasn't going to do clear enough for storm. Lifted index is -3 to -4, radar is dying out a bit.
  23. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Look at all these storm reports already today
  24. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Classic El Nino looking pattern on the long range GFS
  25. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Look at this +Nino 1.2 cold-PDO difference in the last 7 days https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/cdas-sflux_ssta7diff_global_1.png
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