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Upstate Tiger

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Everything posted by Upstate Tiger

  1. There are some differences between the operational GFS and EURO long range with the EURO being a better set up for us. Unfortunately, when there are two options on the table, it's best to avoid disappointment and go with the less wintry solution.
  2. Yeah it seems Siberia and China has experienced some extreme winters in recent years.
  3. Agree. I’m beginning to think the Tarheels have a better chance at hiring Bill Belichick than we do of seeing a class Miller A snowstorm.
  4. At least we have something to watch and discuss this year instead of our favorite brand of rye grass.
  5. I’m hoping for 2 Christmas miracles on the 21st. A pre Christmas snow and we beat Texas. At this point, unsure which is more improbable.
  6. Last 2 runs of Euro have hinted at a storm around the 21st. Would like to see another pre Christmas snow.
  7. Monday January 11 we had a low of 4 at GSP. By lunch time on Tuesday it was snowing. On Thursday had a second gulf system dumping more snow. Missed school nearly a month.
  8. December 81 was a part of a ENSO neutral winter as we transitioned back to Nino in fall of 82. It was a December of wild swings with a nice little winter storm on the 21st. Reminds me a lot of this December so far. Then in Janaury the arctic hounds were released. Brutal cold and back to back Gulf winter storms. Warmed up after mid Janaury and eseentially winter was over.
  9. I volunteered to put a trampoline together for the grandkids on Christmas Eve. I’m sure we will see record cold that night.
  10. Would seem there is a lot of sea surface and atmospheric variance leading to wild swings in the pattern for the next couple of months...
  11. Would be awesome to see a snowy ACC championship game even if we’re not in it.
  12. Big overperformer in my area from last night's rains. Didn't check before I left but guessing we got over a half inch if not more. Lots of standing water heading into work.
  13. Pattern is certainly more interesting to close the month. Could we see some snow in NYC for the parade?
  14. Now that's the kind of Hazard Map from the CPC that I like to see (11/22-11/28)
  15. Yep. Until this changes, no bueno for SE winter lovers...
  16. You could basically cut and past the image below from the past few winters. You would think the parade of storms crashing into the Pacific NW and BC would cease at least for 1 winter. This is for 11/13 but you can pick any date.
  17. I think I’m going to go George Constanza and do the opposite this winter. In other words, I’m going to project no hope, and constantly reject any modeling that shows anything but AN temps. So, I agree with your post, November will be a torch. December and January likewise. There will be no snow south of the Mason Dixon line below 5,000’.
  18. I remember that storm. I was at Myrtle Beach. Got 5” and it was gone by breakfast.
  19. I grew up in the upstate of SC. 76-83 were all awesome for snow lovers. Became more and more sporadic after that run. Difference then was cold would last for long periods of time and snow would linger for weeks. The last comparable winter would be 95-96 for the upstate.
  20. Just read where Mt. Fuji is without a snowcap going into November for the first time since official records started being kept 130 years ago. It normally has a snow cap by October 5. This fall is reminding me a lot of 2016
  21. I know I know...but it's all we've got to work with right now
  22. Big coastal storm being shown for late week 1 in November for several runs in a row. Maybe can usher in a pattern change. Lots of cold air during this period over western Canada and the NW US, typical of Nina.
  23. Hit the freezing mark for the first time this morning.
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