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Upstate Tiger

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  1. Upstate Tiger
    Guess I’m missing something. I thought the overnight model runs were pretty good. Storm seems likely with no suppression. Yes it could be north and bomb out over the mid Atlantic like the 06z is showing but we have a likely storm and some cold around. Should be an interesting few days.
  2. Upstate Tiger
    Good run for sure.
  3. Upstate Tiger
    Would love to see a high where the lowe is in the northern planes on Wednesday.
  4. Upstate Tiger
    The weather nazi at KGSP NWS has spoken. NO SNOW FOR YOU!!! At this point, the chance for snow east of the mountains is close to zero, despite what long term guidance may have hinted at in past recent runs. Guidance has temperatures during this time a few degrees below normal with overnight temps dipping into the teens for the mountains and 20s elsewhere. All in all, the extended is dry, cold, and snow-less. &&
  5. Upstate Tiger
    Me too! I’m done! Can someone call me at 11 so I can watch the 0z GFS?
  6. Upstate Tiger
    Hate to say it but the 0z runs were as ugly as a room full of gamecocks. Will still be waiting on the next suite as things change quickly in the winter.
  7. Upstate Tiger
    Just got back home from visiting family in SC and peeked at the 18z GFS. I need a cigarette.
  8. Upstate Tiger
  9. Upstate Tiger
    12Z GFS pretty consistent with bringing the cold south and east through the end of the run. We'll just have to wait and see on the storm chances. I think we will have an opportunity or 2.
  10. Upstate Tiger
    Looking at the 12z GFS, the 7th - 9th appears to be our best opportunity for a SE winter storm over the next 2 weeks. Just need a bit of blocking and we’re in business.
  11. Upstate Tiger
    Little doubt cold is coming. I always look for a storm on the front end of a cold dump. Hopefully it can work out.
  12. Upstate Tiger
    There are some differences between the operational GFS and EURO long range with the EURO being a better set up for us. Unfortunately, when there are two options on the table, it's best to avoid disappointment and go with the less wintry solution.
  13. Upstate Tiger
    Yeah it seems Siberia and China has experienced some extreme winters in recent years.
  14. Upstate Tiger
    Agree. I’m beginning to think the Tarheels have a better chance at hiring Bill Belichick than we do of seeing a class Miller A snowstorm.
  15. Upstate Tiger
    At least we have something to watch and discuss this year instead of our favorite brand of rye grass.
  16. Upstate Tiger
    I’m hoping for 2 Christmas miracles on the 21st. A pre Christmas snow and we beat Texas. At this point, unsure which is more improbable.
  17. Upstate Tiger
    Last 2 runs of Euro have hinted at a storm around the 21st. Would like to see another pre Christmas snow.
  18. Upstate Tiger
    Monday January 11 we had a low of 4 at GSP. By lunch time on Tuesday it was snowing. On Thursday had a second gulf system dumping more snow. Missed school nearly a month.
  19. Upstate Tiger
    December 81 was a part of a ENSO neutral winter as we transitioned back to Nino in fall of 82. It was a December of wild swings with a nice little winter storm on the 21st. Reminds me a lot of this December so far. Then in Janaury the arctic hounds were released. Brutal cold and back to back Gulf winter storms. Warmed up after mid Janaury and eseentially winter was over.
  20. Upstate Tiger
    I volunteered to put a trampoline together for the grandkids on Christmas Eve. I’m sure we will see record cold that night.
  21. Upstate Tiger
    I’ve seen some good analogs too.
  22. Upstate Tiger
    Would seem there is a lot of sea surface and atmospheric variance leading to wild swings in the pattern for the next couple of months...
  23. Upstate Tiger
    Would be awesome to see a snowy ACC championship game even if we’re not in it.
  24. Upstate Tiger
    Big overperformer in my area from last night's rains. Didn't check before I left but guessing we got over a half inch if not more. Lots of standing water heading into work.
  25. Upstate Tiger
    Pattern is certainly more interesting to close the month. Could we see some snow in NYC for the parade?
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