Upstate Tiger

We should never have been the ones to start the Civil War. I knew it would catch up to us one day.

I’m 59 and I remember knee deepers in March of 71 and February of 79. Some other notable ones were January 87 and 88.

Cool story. Thanks for sharing. That’s the thing about big snowstorms, especially in the south, is we can connect them to some special people and times in our lives.

I hate you youngons missed some of the monsters from the 70s and 80s. 93 is in a category of its own though.

Very disappointing winter for sure. Thought we’d get at least 1 event. Hopefully this summer is not a dry scorcher.

CPC predicting rapid return to Nina conditions this summer and increasing through fall. That makes 4 out of 5 right? Can we ever get a neutral anymore?

LOL...I had this copied and ready to paste! Love seeing the purple over the SE...

We won in Chapel Hill last night for the second time in 62 years. At this point, I believe anything is possible.

Wished you were right. Has been no time fittin for golf on the weekends since November but it looks like plenty of cold to me.

That analogy certainly makes sense and I do not get paid to forecast the weather. However, looking beyond the 7-10 range looks like there is plenty of arctic air in Canada, northern tier, and this side of the hemisphere. Guess I am a little puzzled what he is looking at to completely call off winter?

That's all we've got ATM. It's kinda like at the end of the night when you know the bar is going to close soon and the only girl left in the place is one who looks pretty good sitting way down at the other end of the bar.

This winter really blows. Can't believe we are going to be shut out again. It's never going to snow in the SE again. There, that should help.

78 and 83 were pretty memorable in the upstate of SC

71 forecast here for Super Bowl Sunday. Maybe we'll finally get some decent weather for our annual Super Bowl Sunday backwards par 3 tournament. May have to break out shorts and sunscreen.

LOL...The Rio Grande, Corpas Christi, and South Padre Island are the places to be! Plenty of time for this to trend north and east

In all seriousness I think we will start seeing fantasy storms showing up over the next several days for this period.

There's been some talk about the correlation and timing of cold in the SE to winter storms. Just for fun, I went back and looked at some memorable winter storms to see what temps looked like in the days leading up to these storms. This is for the Greenville, SC area. The far right column is new snow depth. With the exception of 1982, the cold air arrives within 24 hours of the onset of the storm. February 2014 January 2011 February 2004 January 1996 March 1993 January 1988 January 1987 January 1982 March 1980 February 1979

Brick. Have you tried to play golf in March the last few years? I swear I saw that mammoth from Ice Age walking across the 6th fairway last year. Good to hear from you BTW.

Agree. Orientation of the cold in February is much more conducive to winter weather on this side of the apps. Of course it changes every 24 hours which is probably a good sign.

Awesome pics guys!! Keep sharing. And give us some temp updates too.

Yeah, I hear you. If you look at the long range link I sent today, and I'm not the expert others are, it would seem to me maybe the 5th, which is start of week 2, would be the earliest for a true pattern change. However, winter is a fast flow so things can change fast.

Looking at the long range out 14 days to first week of Feb., the cold in Canada looks better today and looked even better overnight. NAO looks to stay positive but so does PNA. MJO looks to maybe get through 6 and some plots have it going into 7. Still feel like we get our chance in February. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml

Welp. This season started with such hope. Maybe ranking among the best of all time. 79-80 and even 95-96 were mentioned when talking about this year. However, we’re headed into late January and we suck again having lost 4/5. Oh and this winter sucks too. Hoping for that February turnaround and great March for both.

Looking at the longrange on the 12Z GFS today is not good for us snow lovers in the SE. Any cold intrusions after this weekend look sparse going into the first week of February. Remains to be seen if the cold returns as moldeled earlier. NAO looks to head positive, PNA stays positive (good), but MJO is headed to 6 before maybe COD. Not the trends we want.

Yep. It stinks. Snow drought is probably an appropriate term. The 1950s had a similar snow drought in the SE. Still think Feb holds some opportunities