Upstate Tiger

A quick check of GSP climate data reveals no significant snow after an 80+ degree max daily temp. A review of the 3 major March storms that I recall, 1980, 1983 and 1993… 1980 first 80+ 4/23/89: 1983 first 80+ 4/27/83: 1993 first 80+ 5/6/93. Historically, hitting the 80 degree mark is the death knell for SE snowstorms. Interestingly, Jan 99 had an 80 degree day. We did have a minor event later in the season.

Anecdotally, the first 80 degree plus day seems to be the rubicon whereby we never see snow afterword. Haven’t taken time to research, but I’m willing to bet the occurrences are very very rare. Seem to recall the week before Superstorm 93, it approached 80. Seems like we had some warm days in March of 83 but don’t recall if we ever hit 80.

Yep. I’ve been watching for signs that the PNA will rise but the forecast for the next 10 days keeps it at least moderately positive.

I’ll start a thread. The last one was so successful.

Yep!

Definitely worst I’ve seen since 2012 when I didn’t see a flake in the upstate. However, it was much warmer and drier that winter.

45/38 here in the Piedmont between Shelby and Lincolnton. Reports of sleet not to far way but we’ve had nothing but cold rain. Noticed it’s 41/38 at my old hometown of Easley in the upstate.

Good luck mountain folks! Gotta feelin there’ll be some big totals in the morning for some of y’all. Hope the power stays on!

Man what impressive dynamics over Mississippi! Not saying it will translate into anything in the lower elevations but someone is going to get raked tonight in the mountains.

This one stinks because it fizzled so dramatically. Hopefully with the end of Nina we can really have some storms to track next year. Who knows, this year may yield a surprise.

lilj, brought the wife to downtown Greenville tonight for Valentines weekend. First time here in 6 1/2 years since we moved to NC. Didn’t recognize the area. Amazing how much it’s grown. Still had an awesome time eating at Sobys and going to jazz club by the river.

Frustrating is an understatement. Hang in there though. This issue if far from settled. I am reserving all judgement until tomorrow's afternoon suite comes out.

By Saturday we should be in the jackpot zone

NAM was definitely an improvement for the foothills of the Carolinas. Now just just a little bit more to get us in the game from Shelby, Lincolnton, Mooresville line north and west.

When it comes to SE snow it is every man (lady) for himself!

Has anyone seen the KGSP AFD for this afternoon? Still showing the morning AFD.

The NAM needs to continue to shift east about 100 miles.

At 72

At 66.

At 60

Not sure which one you are looking for but this is through 54...

True. I was in the upstate. 2011, 2014, 2015, and 2016 had good events. 2019 was a good year here in the western NC Piedmont. The 2000s didn’t produce much in my area outside Presidents’ Day storm. Still no pattern that rivals the 70s or 80s or even 1996. 2011 was probably the closest.

I know many of us in the south get frustrated when we do not see snow when it is forecast, especially since it has become so rare in recent years (or decades). I look at like this. I am probably the biggest winnie on here but if there is no snow this weekend, so be it. I'll be disappointed but it was fun tracking the last couple of days. It's a welcome diversion from all the serious things we deal with in life. I will just move on to looking for the next threat. If nothing happens this year, I will start reading ENSO predictions in June and start tracking again next fall. I just feel for the younger posters under 40 who did not get to experience some of the great winters of the 70's and 80's around here. But even then, a good year was 2-3 events. The climate has changed. In next 20 years or so when I am gone, you younger posters will probably be experiencing another shift. That's what the weather does. That's what makes it so fun to follow.

Yeah. I gotta say there’s a lot of handwringing here in western NC and SC outside the mountains over what happens but I would be most nervous if I was in eastern Tenn.

Nice