Upstate Tiger

Was snow and rain and 36 when I left Gastonia at 515. Just rain and 34 here in Cherryville now. Interesting that the valleys on all the roofs in neighborhood are ice covered. Obviously had some sleet or snow during the day here.

Well the northwest and Midwest are having epic winters. Cold and winter storms just set up west and north of us this year. Maybe we still get something this year. If not, maybe next year

GSP keeps some idea of a wintry event next week for parts of the area. BTW...where are all the regular posters? This place is as dead as Williams Brice in the 4th quarter of Clemson - South Carolina game. The EC forecasts a stronger high to our north channeling in cool air as the deep moisture passes Tuesday and Tuesday night. Thus quite cool and quite wet with some wintry precip possible for northern parts of the mountains and foothills. Low pressures riding a front out of the Gulf will not move east of our area until early Thursday which is after the end of the current forecast period.

From GSP AFD long term forecast: Monday night thru Tuesday...the cool air may set the stage for a wintry mess with the next storm system. The southern stream jet will start to amplify and lift northward slightly, placing strong entrance region upper divergence over the Southern Plains. So the signal is fairly strong on a very wet storm system developing somewhere across the southern states, bringing plenty of moisture into the region around New Day 7. Both the EC and GFS show a strong CAD developing and thicknesses supporting a mixed bag of precip types across much of the NC mountains and the I-40 corridor to the east. PoPs ramp back up to high-end chc to likely with temps mainly in the 30s to mid 40s.

You know what that silly clown map reminds me of? The 93 Superstorm......aaahhh the memories. I guess that's all we're left with now!

Well I just renewed my American Weather subscription for another year. If I don't get any snow by the end of March, can I get a refund?

Right on cue, the NAO looks to go negative at the end of the month, hopefully soon enough to give the SE one more opportunity for a winter storm. More than likely it just means another cold wet spring. It seems like I have put down mulch and a aerated my yard in a cold rain each spring for the last 5 years. LOL https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml

Sorry. Just being sarcastic with something I saw posted on Facebook earlier today.

Good news snow lovers! Some of my S.C. friends told me that WYFF said yesterday that the cold weather is over for this winter and an early spring is coming.

I can't wait for CR to post these graphics in a month when it shows our annual springtime negative NAO!

Well at least this weekend's storm looks to lay down some pretty good snow in the Midwest, on top of some areas that just got snow earlier this week. This should lay down the tracks for the cold air to come south without a lot of moderation. I know what the ops are showing but I am still not a 100% convinced the system late next week goes as far north as modeled. A lot of moving parts in play after this weekend make it hard to have faith in any specifics beyond 5 days. We do know, however, that there will plenty of cold air, s/w's entering the west and more favorable indices. I wouldn't jump off the cliff just yet.....

View from Asheville this morning.

We’re in Asheville tonight just off I 26 on Brevard Road. Currently 29 with rain, sleet and snow. Had been going back and forth between sleet and rain for last couple of hours. Noticing some accretion on the trees now.

Sure hope the latter comes to fruition Grit. The CPC 14 day outlook sucks this afternoon, although the NAO does look to go negative at the end. Of course, the possibility of a winter storm in the southeast this weekend shows how quickly things can change around here! Now, if only the Tigers can make a good showing tonight I'll be happy with whatever happens over the next couple of weeks....

In my 7 years on here I have never started a thread. Maybe I can bring the MoJo. Indices and forecasts seem to be lining up for a wintry January in the Southeast.

If this comes to fruition, this would remind me a lot of the 81/82 winter. We had a southern winter storm before Christmas, a relaxation of cold for a couple of weeks, and then an absolutely brutal period of cold in January that was kicked off by a 2 day east coast winter storm that dropped 8" IMBY (upsate SC). Couple of things I remember from that cold spell was the Cincinnati and San Diego ice bowl play off game and the air Florida crash in the Potomac.

Snippet from the CPC Dec 20 - 26 Outlook "A split in the westerlies aloft is anticipated over the CONUS during Week-2. The southern stream in particular will need to be monitored for the possible development of a significant surface cyclone late in Week-2."

Picked up more from sleet than I thought. Measured 4.5 in Cherryville. About 2.5” of that was snow overnight.

Yep. From obs seems Meck did better than us. It’s all good though. Glad for those that cashed in. Suspect this is not our last storm this season

Woke up to 2” of snow overnight. 31 and moderate sleet right now. Winds really whipping. Living at northern tip of Gaston County near border with Lincoln and Cleveland I thought we’d be in the 6” - 12” range. Wise to pay attention to NAM inside 48 hrs. Can’t say I’m disappointed though. I’m 53 and can count on 1 hand number of winter storms I’ve experienced before Christmas. Now heading out to sled with grandson!

Finally changed to all snow in Cherryville. Temp been holding at 36 for about 4 hours. I’m 25 miles west of Gastonia.

Just went over to moderate sleet and 36 in Cherryville. Piling up pretty fast on the deck. Looking at southeastern radar is that a dry slot forming over Mississippi? I’m guessing the area of precipitation over Texas is the ULL?

For those interested, here is the AFD from KGSP: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

32 and freezing rain in Cherryville. I am about 15 miles northeast of Shelby. Started as rain around 7. Temp reached 32 about 11. No sleet here.

Cold rain and 39 in Cherryville this morning. Started off at 36. Thought we might see a little sleet at the onset but not to be.