BxEngine
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Everything posted by BxEngine
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And if you say its gonna miss or not a big deal, then just move on. For some here its a decent weekend snow event. Repeating yourself in numerous threads saying non event is gonna be the end of the posting ability.
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Interpreting the model isnt the same as the objective output the model shows. If there is a warm nose that the nam is snowing only over the city, post the soundings. Dont just say there is a snow hole when there clearly isnt on that specific model.
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Honestly…i think RU or someone posted about it recently as well, but its easier for anyone with even basic knowledge to just have the 10:1 maps and adjust from there, vs the kuchera which tends to over-inflate totals. Better off looking at the actual just precip panels and compare it to the soundings, and do some basic math to work it out yourself. I only posted that map in reference to the nonsense about the nam showing a nyc snow hole. If we are going to interpret model output thats one thing…but the actual model output isnt subjective.
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Oof. We got above freezing luckily, although some side roads are still iffy.
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Its not getting deleted. Its an important topic and it affects us as weather dorks, and rjay knows what hes doing and can handle it if it gets out of hand. Just please try to keep it civil. And here. Anything in the main threads is def gone tho.
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Lol “but january was cold!”
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For the rockland people….303 and 59 are a friggin mess. Ice and slush all over.
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This local suburb has an inch of sleet and snow and the roads are treacherous. Guess its a nice reminder this isnt all about ones backyard.
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Sleet and snow. Definitely not a non event up here, roads are horrific. Bouncing between mostly sleet and mostly snow the last 20 mins or so.
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Keep to the weather aspect of the govt bs.
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We heard you the first time man. Come back after the 10th lol
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That being said, i def agree that in these setups the sleet often moves in earlier than modeled, especially if the models are known to be too cold at that levels. But thats a different debate.
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That was more forkys point, that it being that close it is oftentimes leaves temps underdone. But you cant compare a sounding from one model and compare it to a model output from a different model. The gfs model as of now is cooler at that level than the hrrr, at least in the places i looked.
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Post it. I know how to do it. If youre going to compare, post the shot too. The initial discussion was about the hrrr sounding. The gfs sounding is different, and different areas of our subforum have pretty significant differences over a short distance especially in the later morning hours.
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Post the gfs sounding. Cant compare a gfs map to a hrrr sounding and claim 1 is correct. Doesnt work like that.
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Bright echos in the bronx are pure snow. Snowing pretty legit for a few mins now. Havent seen a plow or salter up here. Not good.
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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
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“Im on about several” is a quintessential metsfan sentence lol
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Of course. Hes been here 20 years and still is optimistic to a fault…mostly because he cant read a damn map (sorry metsfan lol). But some people here act like we deserve great patterns and avg 100” a year. “Omg 3”? wake me up when its showing a foot”. Jesus christ. As a whole, our sub avg roughly between 25-40” with higher amounts further northwest. That means most years we wont get that because coastal storms giving us big events arent happening. But if you dont want to talk about a few inches here and there, or the cold snap (relative, still warm as hell comparatively but at least the damn ponds froze), why even bother having an account here? Its really really odd behavior. The literal 180 of metsfan.
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I mean…he was more correct than some of the typical doomers around here. We just didnt get the snow. Not many predicted a colder than normal first half of winter lol
