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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The flash flood watch has been expanded westward into central Iowa where some models are trying to focus the rain. DVN, unfortunately, said nothing in their latest discussion about where they think the best rain will fall. I don't think they know.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    The morning models are not helping any. Their heavy rain bands are still all over. The Euro just came in east of Cedar Rapids. Ugh.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Models are all over the place with rain totals. The UK and Euro are still bullish for me, but the rest are shifting to central Iowa, with only 0.50-1.50" here.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    The way this is setting up, as two lows that track over me, my area doesn't even get any wind until later Wednesday, behind the second low.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro is west as well. As with other models, a bit more south-to-north than the previous ssw-nne runs.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    The 12z UK has joined the GFS with a shift nw.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Models are latching onto the double-barrel low scenario. Unfortunately, this GFS run pushes much of the rain west and north of me. A tropical cyclone remnant missing nw would be a kick to the gut. 12z GFS
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, the euro is so quick this run that Cristobal outruns the strongly-digging energy moving in from the west. It ends up with a kind of double-barrel system.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK... I think a tropical remnant precip track like this would be a first for me... extremely rare.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK has a 969 mb low over Lake Superior. Wow.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The ICON sped up this morning. A faster motion should help get the system a bit farther nw before the front swings through.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    There were heavy cells dancing all over the area yesterday and overnight, but they all missed me again. My rain total is only 0.18", most of which came from a weakening band of general rain overnight.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    18 straight minutes of 60 mph wind gusts at Davenport.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, I'm not looking for 5" of rain or damaging hail or a tornado. A solid thunderstorm that drops 1" of rain would be great.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    This morning's models are tracking the low center farther southeast again, sorta acting as a tail for the cold front swinging through the region. Still, models show good precip surging northward along the front.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    A few minutes of hail was fun to watch, but what I want is heavy rain (with some nice lightning/thunder). I love heavy rain as much as I love heavy snow. The storm that dropped that hail on April 7th only dropped 0.09" of rain. At some point this season we'll get a real heavy downpour that lasts more than a few minutes, but it just hasn't happened yet.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro is much farther nw with the Cristobal low this run. Models are really deepening the system somewhere in the lakes region. No doubt the track will flop around many times as the system hangs out down in the tropics for the next few days.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Meanwhile, two lines of storms both crapped out on/skipped over me overnight, leaving me with only 0.19" of rain. It's not our year, apparently.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    91/68 in Cedar Rapids last hour (90 this hour), the first 90º day since last July.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    The 3k NAM drops a pretty good line into northern and even central Iowa tonight, but the HRRR appears to have Iowa capped and bone dry.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    It's easy to see who has been dumped on and who hasn't over the last month or two. Chicago through Michigan has been bulls-eyed. Many of the rest of of us, not so much. There is certainly no drought, but some widespread MCS action from the plains into MN/IA would be nice.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    I know you guys in Illinois have gotten walloped by rain systems this spring, but we haven't. We could use a good soaker today. A week from now, when Cristobal lifts through the central US, we will really need a soaker.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    I hope the remnants of Cristobal can track northward enough to drop some good rain here. It's too rare. You guys farther east in the subforum get this kind of thing much more often. The GFS brings it up across Iowa, but the Euro veers it east into the Ohio Valley/eastern Lakes.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    It could get rather dry around here by next week. We've already received below avg May precip. Now the Euro keeps spitting out bone dry runs.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    As has been the case all spring, I missed out on the heavy stuff today. I only picked up 0.27" of rain. This follows 0.03" yesterday, 0.05" Tuesday, and 0.16" Monday. For the entire week of rain I only reached 0.91". I'm going to finish May with 3.14".
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