hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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Up to 8 inches fell in northeast Iowa. As models predicted, a corridor just east to northeast of La Crosse got 15-20 inches. I only received a couple tenths on sw edge of the precip shield.
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The GFS is nothing like the Euro for Minnesota.
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The Euro has the morning low well down in the 20s Tuesday morning. All my shrubs are budding and about to flower, so I'll have to do a lot of covering with sheets.
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12z Euro... It's unlikely to be anything close to this much, but it's a big increase from recent runs.
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The front already moved through my area. I don't think the forecasted 70s will pan out. Models have mostly shifted the heavier precip, and snow, up into Wisconsin. I was hoping we could get a good soaking, but that's fading a bit.
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Our high temp has been 6º to 7º above the Euro forecast every day since last weekend.
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The models are trending slower and stronger with the weekend system. That's good, because it means a much better soaking rain event across my area. I've only received 1.77" of precip since March 1st. It's getting a bit dry, especially following this week's dry warmth. As the system strengthens and wraps up, we could get a bit of snow as well.
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The mild to warm temp is great. However, a bit of humidity would be nice because the air is very dry.
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Spring 2023 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The long-range op Euro is just ridiculous... 70s and gorgeous, ad infinitum. -
Spring 2023 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm really looking forward to the extended warm period. I just hope we don't flip and go into the freezer later in the month. -
SPC has removed the moderate risk area in our sub. It's looking like a bust for much of southeast Iowa, including Cedar Rapids/Iowa City. We weren't even able to get out of the 50s as the warm front stalled well south.
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Peoria is about to get some nasty hail.
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There's a nasty storm southeast of Des Moines, all by itself, along the warm front, that is looking increasingly hooky. Update: It is now tornado-warned. The latest radar image suggests a possible debris ball.
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There's no sign of anything going up in between the central Iowa storms and the northeast Missouri storms. Models have, generally, not been very bullish for my area.
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He's back. Earlier this morning he posted he works today til 4pm and then may chase.
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I just realized the core of this powerful storm is hitting Cyclone's house as I type. He's probably getting golfball to baseball size hail right now. He may be at work, though. I hope he doesn't get too much damage.
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90 mph wind gust at the Quad Cities airport!
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3.00" hail in Davenport, 80 mph wind in Moline... pretty impressive for 10am.
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Now 2.50" hail is being reported in Davenport. Yikes.
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2" diameter hail is being reported in the Muscatine to Davenport corridor.
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1.50" hail report from Cedar Rapids. I got lucky. Update: Now a 1.75" (golfball) report from Marion (ne edge of Cedar Rapids)
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The hail core passed barely southeast of my house, so I only got pea size (maybe a few a bit larger).
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An elevated hailer is approaching Cedar Rapids this morning, currently warned for 1" hail.
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Spring 2023 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Models have been flirting with an upper low digging down into the Ohio Valley next week, keeping our region a bit cool, but the GFS has lost that idea and the Euro is trending away from it. Tonight's GFS and Euro are blowtorching the plains in the extended, with a bit of summer attempting to spread east across the midwest. -
It was a C here... better than Cyclone's winter, but still well south of the prevailing snowstorm track.
