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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The event has been pretty meager here. There was a very thin glaze this morning, but it never got any worse. There was never any obvious ice on the trees. Even if it was colder, there just hasn't been much precip. The deep moist plume missed east, so we've only received scattered light showers.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    It's getting icy here. The precip has been very light so far, though. The plume of deep moisture is mostly veering to my east.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    I've never expected more than light to moderate rain here, perhaps including a bit of freezing rain. I'm fine with that. We got our good storm last week. I hate seeing the Euro and UK drastically cutting snow totals up in Minnesota/Wisconsin, though... 30+% across the board compared to a few runs ago.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    My storm total snow is 5.8 inches. I'm sure there was a bit of settling over the last 90 minutes that prevented the remaining light snow from boosting the total up to 6 inches. Overall, a solid storm, easily the biggest of the season. The four-hour lull in the middle was a bummer, but there were pretty heavy rates early and late, all viewable during good daylight. The wind was a factor, but never too terrible. There was moderate drifting on the driveway.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The defo band moving through eastern Iowa is awesome. It's dumping fatties at 2"/hr... as beautiful of a snow as we ever get here. It sucks that it's so transient, but at least I got to see it during daylight. My total has quickly jumped to about 5.5 inches.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    I posted almost four hours ago I had 3.7" after some heavy bursts first thing this morning. Well.... four hours later and I STILL have 3.7". The snow parted like the red sea and it has struggled to reform. No models predicted any kind of a break, let alone FOUR hours. It's not helping that the wind is blowing already-fallen snow around the yard. If the central Iowa snow ever gets here, I may only get another inch out of this. What a joke.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    I'm sitting at 3.7" thanks to the heaviest rates of the season on and off this morning. We are currently in a lull, waiting for the upper low and defo zone to move in.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    A band of heavy snow streaked northeast through Iowa City overnight and dropped 2-4+" of snow. Meanwhile, I did not see a single flake. I'm just now getting into good snow.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    The short-term models like the HRRR should improve within 24 hours, but so should all models. I just watch for trends on all of them.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    18z HRRR is a solid improvement for Iowa, now more in line with other models.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro... at least it's no worse for me than the last run. I'm sure DVN does not want to issue a warning and then cancel it 12 hours later for the second consecutive storm, but there is not much justification for the winter storm warning from Cedar Rapids to Dubuque now.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    The 12z HRRR is way south and weak, a continuation of the trend. The Euro is going the same direction. This may be the second consecutive winter storm warning here that busts bad.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    The op GFS is on drugs and has been for several runs. It's way too wet, and also a good bit north of the GEFS mean. Here is the much more rational GEFS.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    The Canadian has been MIA so far, but has finally joined the party.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    The UK and Euro have juiced back up this evening as the energy is not as flat as on this morning's runs. Madison is really on a roll.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    There's a pretty big model spread regarding how robust this system will be. The Euro is still showing a healthy wave, but other models are trending flatter and strung out.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Wow, look at that massive February deformation snow band!!! My yard is about 5 miles inside the nw edge.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    My final snow total is 1.8 inches. After the first 1.5 inches, it struggled to accumulate faster than it melted. It just didn't snow heavily enough here. I can't imagine trying to shovel 7-9 inches of this stuff. Just 1.5 inches is plenty heavy.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    I don't think so. Radar shows that a couple heavy bands pivoted over that area this morning. On the other weather forum, a guy in the Dubuque area is reporting 7-8" on his driveway.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    The Dubuque airport is reporting 9 inches of snow. Other reports around Dubuque are 4-5".
  21. hawkeye_wx
    I'm at about 1.6", so it's not a total bust. I was hoping for an hour of consistent heavy snow at some point, but that's not in the cards. At least it's some decent snow during daylight. A day or two ago local mets were talking about strong wind, but that has not panned out.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    I am over an inch, but the snow rate is very inconsistent. There have been a few real nice bursts with big flakes, but they are brief. We still have little pockets of mix moving through, which tanks the snow rate. It's snowing more heavily down in Iowa City where the stronger precip band is.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up 0.40" of rain overnight. It just switched to snow, so the models at least nailed the timing of that. The problem is we are at the nw edge of the precip shield, so how much snow we get will depend on the stronger precip holding over us.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    My final call is one inch or less.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Unbelievably, the 00z NAM and 3kNAM both just totally cancelled the storm for Cedar Rapids and Dubuque.
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