RogueWaves

18z GFS, V3, and Euro all are consistent with strength of SLP, and general snow shield. Heck, V3 keeps flakes flying over mby for 27 hrs courtesy of follow-on LES showers. If not a very deep snow, it certainly would be a winter-like couple days Friday into Saturday considering the calendar dates. I'm intrigued to say the least.

In hindsight, it's obvious the globals struggled with which wave would get amplified and they each picked one, lol. Now, it may be that none of them go bigly and we end up learning a lesson on model behavior. TWC had all kinds of snow in their forecast and had to promptly pull it just as quickly.

CFSv2 has begun to re-think it's torch December over the E CONUS, fwiw. As for being "due" here in the S GL's & OHV, I disagree. The past 2 good Dec's balanced the dumpster fires of '14 & '15. I'd say it's more like a balanced ledger going into this one.

Ahh. I see what you meant now. Around here (South central Mich) that Nov '66 storm unloaded 8-13.5" making it a very tall order to de-throne by anything at or earlier in date-stamp. The closest 1st-half player since was 7" on Nov 13-14th of '72. Looking way back, there was a double digit storm (10.5") on Nov 8-9th of 1915.

Making Nov 2-3 1966 freakishly amazing imho. Snow accum's down in Dixie a couple days after Halloween

It does have that autumn '95 and '00 feel to it. Question is, can we sustain it after it gets here. 95-96 did a decent job of that, but 00-01 blew it's load on December, at which point it was basically over

pick a day, pick a model, pick a bomb

Bombs galore on models today. Could be the wildest November of my adult lifetime if it comes together.

Not the most dynamic of systems and thus lacking in heavy rain. Nonetheless, it's nice to finally get a decent system tracking thru this region.

Models flashing tons of bomb wanna-be's. Can we get a little arctic connection please?

Dec '04 just prior to Christmas was a Big Dog down that way. That and the March '08 bliz come to mind. March '15 was a close call for Cinci as well as Dec '12 a nice storm hit down that way.

Timing the tulips with the festival is always a dice toss. In recent times, they often bloom before the actual festival but this may be the 1 in 6 yrs when they don't, or even the 1 in 12 yrs that they're late. City of Holland or tourism beaureau has a live web-cam on a sample plot of tulips so you can monitor the progress. Can't change it ofc, but at least you know what to expect. Before the web, it was a real crap shoot to know when to make the trip? Regardless, great city/region and you can't help but have a good time.

Yikes! So sorry for that mega-bust. Thought those were a thing of the past tbh. Tho LES is prolly the most challenging to nail. Hopefully, we'll get something to make up that loss later. Plus, we're all getting in on this decent clipper. - Cheers

GRR was also bullish on double digit totals for SWMI but it ended up a nice 4-8" event instead..you're not the only region that suffered that fate

Rip city in SWMI already hit 3" in first 3 hrs. Robust event - storm conditions thru Van Buren Cnty! Winter Wonderland ❄❄

You guys over there just wait. 2012 had to be balanced out and you're gonna get "balanced out" sooner than later as well..