RogueWaves

Peoria is well north of I-70 and I might have said Liquid/Frozen line vs. SLP to be more precise with my words. At that, you'd be golden. Hope you get the rare back-to-back storms.

SLP gets up to at least I-70. That's my call and I'm sticking to it.

Euro needs to eat it's Wheaties and bulk-up, lol. The snowcover baro-zone effect really plays out later in winter when/if you have a long-standing glacier that is a very cold snowpack, not one recently laid down on recently warm ground. Jan 17 SOHV bliz laid down a massive swath of even deeper snow and it didn't stop the following week's storm from raining up into SEMI. What this can do imho (current snow cover) is keep WAA from getting out of hand if we indeed see a stronger storm being advertised by most guidance.

That gave mby 18"...I like how you think

Thus see Bastardi's compare with Jan '82 cold waves and that's the exact wx I remember in Genesee Cnty to confirm your call

ICON's not the "go-to" model of choice if you ask me. Wouldn't worry me if it was out on it's own away from the pack. Hopefully this clocks us both pretty goodly

Getting pumped for the possibilities of next week's system. I think the snow pack laid down's actually a good thing so a stronger system doesn't pump too much warm air ahead of it like we've seen up until the current system.

GFS = Rainer GEM = Nice Euro = South Maybe they could meet in the middle for a hug

In other words, SMI is left watching from the sidelines, eh?

After all the spring-like wx lately, today's winds were brutal. Picked up 0.8" of LES as a bonus tho.

NAM back at the beginning of the snowy November was taking all the other models to wood shed. Then it lost it's rhythm. Be nice if "it's back"

And as snowy as that looks over SWMI, 5 yrs ago those amts were the 15 day GFS - and it verified! Several times! Oh the extremes we endure around here..

This! Currently have flurries in my grid. Sigh at 2 storms just north and now a potential sliding just south. Nino's are the worst!

I liked his wxrisk site info/blog back before social media let the cat outta the bag about his dark side. Since that revelation, he's entertaining if you can look past his crassness and see his rants almost like a comedy film actor. My all-time favorite DT description

Which isn't much in this winter of non-starts

So when a bliz hits the region a month later, you can start some lore regarding winter twisters?

My biggest and only true storm that season was 11-29. This year 11-26. I report - you decide

It's truly the ghost of 11-12 I swear

By that, you mean systems tracking south of us. Cuz we've had systems. In fact about 3 in a row that tracked right over SMI. We'll never score if that continues, and that's exactly the same thing models have the next two systems doing (8th and 11th). Tough to polish this turd tbh

I'll admit to buying into the borderline Modoki Nino which allows for some pretty decent analog averages of cold/snow across S Lakes. But so far, this Modoki is misbehaving badly so my analog list is pretty much useless

Had a person say their cottage in Oscoda Cnty got 12" tho the largest official report seemed to be a 10.5" from Suttons Bay. Certainly some unreported lollies may well have happened with the region much less densely populated than SMI

Would've been disappointing enough, but that actually made it much worse! And now we begin a new month/year with this. No surprise d10 snow maps are a total dud

Bet you'd take a repeat of that

We actually drove home via 94 (was closed west of Kzoo but somehow found a ramp that wasn't blocked). When there were zero other cars for 30 miles we realized we weren't supposed to be out there. Anyways, the State Police were escorting batches of east-bound cars very slowly in groups thru squalls that were dropping vis to about 200 ft at times. Even still, peeps were finding their way into the median ditch somehow. We exited at Benton Harbor to go south on US-31 and only one business was open. Think it was Pizza Hut. Needed the bathroom and some Chicago dude was in there b*tching that everything in Chicago was open as usual and "why was everything closed in Michigan?". Some people. Anyways barely got down to S. Bend as some roads were impassable and the drifting was wild in the countryside. I see that 6.0" report says Eau Claire MI but they had at least 20" late afternoon of the 3rd as we passed near there. Suspect that should be Eau Claire WI or it was a first report and they never updated it with the storm total? I was working in St. Joe during the PV Bliz Jan 6, 2014 and that also hit that region with 24+ inches. Both great storms, tho winds were a lot worse in '99

0930 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 NNW KEWADIN 44.96N 85.38W 12/31/2018 E9.5 INCH ANTRIM MI PUBLIC (and they were in the 4-6 zone. Slightly over-performed lol)