RogueWaves

KRMY hit -21F this morning, and it tends to run about a deg on the warm side 6 hr Max/Min shown here as the (2nd) 6F/-21F Coldest since -23F on 2/21/15 which was the unofficial modern era record

At least at that LAT it surely is. What run of the GEFS are you talking, 21/12z?

Fully expecting to plummet even lower than my grid call of -14F with perfect positioning of the HP at peak cooling hr.

And I already have the 10F above/10F below thing in GRR's AFD going on right now.

d*amn! Looks like I was just a bit too far NE of the axis - 'grats

Calling it a 6.5" total here subject to verification. Generally a happy camper Storm positives: Decent hit from a SLP south of the OHR Last-minute ramp-up saving us from total lameness Snow start to finish - no mixing bs Sub-freezing wx leading up to storm meant zero melting underneath Lightweight snow was an easy shovel for old dudes out of shape, lol Gives us a base on which to build upping my interest level several magnitudes for whatever else this pattern wants to deliver

Darker shade stretches to both side of the lake tho. If you meant lake enhancement due to the easterly flow, it should be on the IL side only I'd think.

Did you forward to GRR? If not, pls do on behalf of their S tier. Thx

..and GRR will "think about it" then issue a purple box. (or do I have the order reversed?)

You gotta reel this one in on our behalf HMIWx

At this rate I can forgetta bout it wrt any "watch" from my office. Gonna be surrounded by 'em with a dead zone in between

..and last night it was the talk of the town

positively toasty in The Mitt. Just don't add wind like 6-Jan-14

For the record, I'm liking a FWA --> TOL snowfall mean axis. Euro 14/18z = little dog showing Big Dog the path. Just my 2 pennies

Need these models to be over-blowing that HP drop. Delay the plunge of that just enough and things change imho

Sorry, I see you meant that little wave out ahead of the main show. Could have some impact tho

It may be jumping the gun on opening the freezer door. Brings the HP crashing into the CONUS

And tracks to NKY and dies??

120h in P-handle. Can you see beyond that??

ICON same place

998 mb in the P-handle

WPC likes you for a reasonable shot at 3" which is not bad from this range

Lots of warm snow. Not like there were arctic tundra temps for weeks ahead of this (last) system

Just riding one or two Euro OP runs? Idk, but yesterday's storm was weakening and/or x-fering it's energy as it came towards OH. Next week's appears to be a stronger wave that's actually getting amped as it hits IN/OH. Could be vastly different outcomes for ILN's region.

BAMwx is an AG-focused private forecasting firm around Indy. They are pro-winter in a place that doesn't have the greatest winter climo. This could be Yuuge for them